October 19, 2016 - Clinton Tops Trump By 7 Points, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Most Voters Say Media Is Biased Against Trump Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Republican Donald Trump's lead among men and white voters all but vanishes as Democrat Hillary Clinton takes a 47 - 40 percent likely voter lead, with 7 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and 1 percent for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

This compares to a 45 - 40 percent Clinton lead in an October 7 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

Today, men are divided with 43 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton. Women back Clinton 52 - 37 percent.

White voters go 45 percent for Trump and 41 percent for Clinton, while non-white voters back Clinton 63 - 25 percent.

In a head-to-head, two-way race, Clinton tops Trump 50 - 44 percent.

The news media is biased against Trump, American likely voters say 55 - 42 percent, including Republicans 88 - 8 percent and independent voters 61 - 37 percent. Democrats say 77 - 20 percent that the media is not biased.

American likely voters believe 51 - 31 percent that Trump assaulted several women. Democrats believe it 84 - 5 percent and independent voters believe it 45 - 34 percent. Republicans don't believe it 56 - 22 percent.

"Donald Trump made the charge, and American likely voters agree: There IS a media bias against the GOP contender," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"But does that explain his lackluster standing with his core base?"

Trump does not have a sense of decency, American likely voters say 59 - 36 percent and he is not fit to be president, voters say 58 - 38 percent.

Clinton does have a sense of decency, voters say 55 - 42 percent, but they are divided on whether she is fit to be president, as 47 percent say yes and 49 percent say no.

"Media bias or not, Trump's character issues have ominous implications," Malloy said. "The consensus opinion is that Trump groped women and is neither fit enough nor a decent enough person to be President."

From October 17 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,007 likely voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, North Carolina, Georgia and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit http://www.qu.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the presidential election were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats, Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, Gary Johnson and Bill Weld the Libertarians, and Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka the Green party candidates, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine, Trump and Pence, Johnson and Weld, or Stein and Baraka?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton and Kaine    47%     7%    91%    38%    41%    52%    46%    35%
Trump and Pence      40     80      4     42     43     37     42     49
Johnson and Weld      7      6      3     11     10      4      7      9
Stein and Baraka      1      2      1      2      1      2      -      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      -      1      1      -
DK/NA                 5      4      2      6      5      4      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Clinton and Kaine    57%    47%    43%    46%    36%    45%    41%    63%
Trump and Pence      20     35     48     47     49     42     45     25
Johnson and Weld     19      8      4      1     10      6      8      4
Stein and Baraka      2      3      1      1      1      1      1      2
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      -      -      1      1      -
DK/NA                 1      6      4      5      3      5      4      5
 
 
2. If the only candidates were Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine the Democrats and Donald Trump and Mike Pence the Republicans, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Clinton and Kaine or Trump and Pence?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Clinton and Kaine    50%    10%    93%    41%    44%    55%    49%    39%
Trump and Pence      44     86      4     49     48     40     46     55
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      1      -      1      1      -
DK/NA                 6      4      3      8      8      4      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Clinton and Kaine    63%    51%    45%    46%    40%    48%    44%    65%
Trump and Pence      32     39     50     49     55     46     50     28
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      1      1      1      -
DK/NA                 4      8      4      5      5      5      5      7
 
*Results based on total sample, only asked of respondents who did not choose Clinton or Trump Q1 Respondents who named Clinton or Trump in Q1 assigned to initial preference.


3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of motivation to vote in this year's presidential election; are you more motivated than usual, less motivated, or about the same as usual?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 53%    56%    52%    54%    50%    55%    54%    52%
Less                 17     21     14     17     19     15     13     20
About the same       29     22     34     29     30     28     33     27
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      1      -      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
More                 46%    48%    55%    58%    51%    55%    53%    52%
Less                 28     23     11     13     17     15     16     18
About the same       26     30     33     27     32     28     30     30
DK/NA                 -      -      1      2      -      2      1      -
 
 
4. Would you say that Hillary Clinton is fit to be President of the United States or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  47%    11%    86%    41%    43%    51%    51%    36%
No                   49     86     11     56     54     45     48     59
DK/NA                 4      2      3      3      3      5      1      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  52%    50%    44%    47%    41%    47%    44%    56%
No                   45     47     52     49     58     49     53     37
DK/NA                 2      4      4      4      1      4      3      6
 
 
5. Would you say that Donald Trump is fit to be President of the United States or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  38%    71%     4%    42%    43%    33%    40%    46%
No                   58     27     93     52     53     62     58     49
DK/NA                 4      3      2      6      4      5      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  24%    33%    44%    41%    50%    36%    43%    24%
No                   74     64     50     53     48     58     54     70
DK/NA                 2      3      5      6      2      6      4      6
 
 
6. Would you say that Hillary Clinton has a sense of decency or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  55%    21%    92%    47%    49%    59%    52%    48%
No                   42     75      7     50     48     37     46     49
DK/NA                 3      5      1      2      3      3      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  73%    53%    48%    53%    45%    55%    50%    67%
No                   25     44     48     44     52     43     47     28
DK/NA                 2      3      4      3      3      3      3      5
 
 
7. Would you say that Donald Trump has a sense of decency or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  36%    64%     7%    40%    45%    28%    35%    43%
No                   59     31     90     54     51     66     61     51
DK/NA                 5      4      3      6      4      6      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  24%    31%    41%    41%    47%    31%    39%    28%
No                   76     65     52     55     48     64     56     66
DK/NA                 -      4      7      4      4      5      5      6
 
 
8. As you may know, there is a recently released tape in which Donald Trump brags about sexually assaulting women. Trump has since apologized and said that these comments were simply "locker room talk". In deciding your vote for president, is what Trump said in that video a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Deal breaker         27%     5%    48%    24%    21%    31%    29%    21%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35     36     34     36     36     34     34     33
Not a big deal       35     59     11     38     41     29     33     43
DK/NA                 4      1      7      2      2      5      4      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Deal breaker         34%    29%    24%    23%    20%    30%    25%    31%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 47     36     32     30     34     32     33     37
Not a big deal       19     33     38     42     44     32     38     27
DK/NA                 1      2      6      5      1      5      3      5
 
 
9. As you may know, multiple women have recently said that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances towards them without their consent. Trump has denied these allegations, calling them lies. Do you believe that Donald Trump committed these actions, or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  51%    22%    84%    45%    44%    56%    50%    45%
No                   31     56      5     34     37     26     31     37
DK/NA                19     22     11     21     19     18     19     18
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  64%    55%    44%    50%    42%    53%    48%    61%
No                   20     28     37     31     40     29     34     22
DK/NA                16     17     19     19     18     19     18     17
 
 
10. In deciding your vote for president, are the allegations that Donald Trump groped or made inappropriate sexual advances towards women a deal breaker, a big deal but not a deal breaker, or not a big deal?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Deal breaker         28%     8%    52%    22%    22%    34%    30%    23%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 34     32     34     39     35     34     34     33
Not a big deal       33     59     10     33     39     28     33     42
DK/NA                 4      1      4      6      4      4      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Deal breaker         46%    32%    22%    21%    20%    33%    26%    35%
Big deal/Nt deal br. 35     32     36     35     34     33     33     37
Not a big deal       15     32     38     40     43     32     37     23
DK/NA                 4      4      4      4      3      3      3      5
 
 
11. Do you think that the news media is biased against Donald Trump or not?
                     LIKELY VOTERS..........................................
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Biased           55%    88%    20%    61%    61%    49%    51%    66%
No/Not biased        42      8     77     37     36     47     45     32
DK/NA                 3      4      3      2      2      4      4      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes/Biased           60%    51%    56%    52%    66%    51%    58%    45%
No/Not biased        39     48     39     45     32     45     39     51
DK/NA                 2      1      5      3      1      4      3      5