July 2, 2018 - American Voters Support Roe V. Wade 2-1, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Dem Candidates Up 9 Points In U.S. House Races Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Sample and Methodology detail

There is only a small gender gap as American voters agree 63 - 31 percent with the U.S. Supreme Court Roe v. Wade decision on abortion, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

Men agree 61 - 32 percent, while women agree 65 - 30 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll finds. Republicans disagree with Roe v. Wade 58 - 36 percent. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group agrees.

The Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics rather than law, American voters say 50 - 42 percent. The court is too liberal, 19 percent of voters say, as 31 percent say it is too conservative and 41 percent say it is about right.

But 49 percent of voters approve of the Supreme Court's decision upholding President Donald Trump's travel ban on citizens from five mostly Muslim countries, while 46 percent disapprove.

President Trump's nomination to the Supreme Court should make the court more conservative, 31 percent of voters say, as 29 percent say it should make the court more liberal and 35 percent say it should keep the current balance on the court.

American voters are divided on when the U.S. Senate should consider President Trump's Supreme Court nominee, as 46 percent say the Senate should consider the nomination and 48 percent say the Senate should not consider the nomination until after the November elections.

"It's a draw on banning travel from some largely Muslim countries, but there is no ambivalence on abortion as men and women dig in and say, 'Hands off Roe v. Wade,'" said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

American voters say 65 - 24 percent, including 48 - 37 percent among Republicans, they would like to see the U.S. Supreme Court be a check on President Trump.

Voters say 71 - 20 percent, including 51 - 36 percent among Republicans, they would like to see the U.S. Congress be a check on the president.

Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives

If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, 50 percent of American voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate, as 41 percent say they would vote for the Republican candidate.

Independent voters back the Democratic candidate 49 - 35 percent.

There are wide gender and racial gaps:
  • Men go Republican 50 - 42 percent as women go Democratic 58 - 33 percent;
  • White voters are divided 46 - 46 percent. Backing Democratic candidates are black voters 80 - 13 percent and Hispanic voters 60 - 35 percent.
American voters disapprove 78 - 15 percent of the way Congress is handling its job.

Immigration is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote in November's election for the House of Representatives, 27 percent of voters say, with 23 percent citing the economy, 22 percent listing health care and 13 percent saying gun policy.

"Is it a signal of a blue wave? Four months until elections for the U.S. House of Representatives and 50 percent of American voters say they plan to vote for Democratic candidates," Malloy added.

Trade Policy

Trump's trade policies are bad for the U.S. economy, voters say 50 - 39 percent and bad for their personal financial situation, voters say 46 - 35 percent.

Trump's trade policies will result in a trade war, voters say 52 - 38 percent and say 73 - 17 percent that a trade war would be bad for the U.S. economy.

From June 27 - July 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,020 voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and Texas as a public service and for research.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Democratic candidate 50%     5%    96%    49%    42%    58%    53%    38%
Republican candidate 41     93      3     35     50     33     40     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      2      -      1      -      2
DK/NA                 8      2      1     14      8      8      6      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Democratic candidate 58%    48%    49%    53%    38%    52%    46%    80%    60%
Republican candidate 32     43     45     42     56     38     46     13     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      1      -      -      -      2      1      -      -
DK/NA                 8      8      6      5      6      8      7      7      4
 
                     MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q15...
                     Econ-  Health Immig- Gun
                     omy    Care   ration Policy
 
Democratic candidate  41%    71%    40%    65%
Republican candidate  52     20     57     24
SMONE ELSE(VOL)        1      -      -      -
DK/NA                  7      9      3     11
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              15%    29%     5%    12%    15%    14%    15%    18%
Disapprove           78     62     89     80     77     78     79     74
DK/NA                 7     10      6      8      7      7      5      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              19%    18%    12%    13%    17%    16%    16%     4%    12%
Disapprove           70     71     85     81     77     76     77     84     82
DK/NA                10     11      3      5      6      8      7     12      7
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Jul 02, 2018         15      78       7
Jun 06, 2018         13      78       9
Apr 11, 2018         12      81       7
Mar 07, 2018         13      80       6
Feb 07, 2018         15      77       8
Jan 18, 2018         16      78       6
Dec 19, 2017         13      79       8
Dec 05, 2017         12      80       8
Aug 24, 2017         10      83       7
Aug 17, 2017         10      85       5
See additional trend information at top of page


11. In general, would you like to see Congress be a check on President Trump, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Check            71%    51%    88%    74%    69%    73%    76%    64%
No                   20     36      7     17     22     18     16     26
DK/NA                 9     13      4      9      9      9      8     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Check            73%    70%    72%    68%    69%    71%    70%    84%    71%
No                   19     17     19     24     21     20     21     10     21
DK/NA                 8     13      9      7     10      9      9      6      9
 
 
12. In general, would you like to see the Supreme Court be a check on President Trump, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Check            65%    48%    82%    66%    64%    66%    69%    56%
No                   24     37     12     23     26     22     23     28
DK/NA                11     15      6     11     10     12      8     16
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Check            71%    64%    66%    61%    62%    64%    63%    75%    70%
No                   19     24     23     27     26     24     25     17     20
DK/NA                 9     11     10     12     11     12     12      8     10
 
 
14. Compared to past elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, how motivated would you say you are to vote in this year's election; are you more motivated to vote than usual, less motivated, or are you just as motivated as usual?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More                 49%    41%    58%    48%    46%    51%    47%    48%
Less                  5      -      5      6      4      5      1      5
As usual             46     58     38     45     48     44     52     47
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More                 51%    49%    48%    48%    47%    47%    47%    55%    55%
Less                  6      2      5      4      2      3      3     14      9
As usual             43     48     48     47     50     49     50     31     34
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
 
 
15. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote in this year's election for the U.S. House of Representatives: the economy, taxes, health care, immigration, or gun policy?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy              23%    32%    20%    19%    28%    18%    23%    24%
Taxes                 9      8      5     11     10      7      7     11
Health care          22     12     33     21     20     24     25     18
Immigration          27     36     23     25     24     29     27     26
Gun policy           13      8     15     15     11     14     10     14
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      2      2      5      3      3      5      2
DK/NA                 4      3      3      4      4      4      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Economy              26%    27%    20%    21%    30%    19%    24%    23%    23%
Taxes                14     11      8      3      9      8      9      3     10
Health care          15     19     28     24     18     25     22     30     21
Immigration          22     22     29     32     26     26     26     15     31
Gun policy           18     12     11     13     10     15     12     23      9
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      3      4      2      3      3      3      2      2
DK/NA                 2      6      2      4      4      4      4      3      4
 
 
16. Will your vote in this year's election for the U.S. House of Representatives be more to express support for President Trump, more to express opposition to President Trump, or will President Trump not be an important factor in your vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              24%    56%     2%    18%    26%    22%    22%    33%
Opposition           35      5     69     32     25     43     38     28
Not important factor 38     36     27     47     46     32     38     36
DK/NA                 3      3      2      4      3      4      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              12%    20%    26%    34%    29%    26%    27%     2%    19%
Opposition           37     31     38     35     23     41     33     45     41
Not important factor 46     48     35     25     45     31     37     50     38
DK/NA                 5      -      2      5      3      3      3      3      3
 
 
25. Do you think the Supreme Court is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Liberal              19%    38%     8%    14%    21%    17%    15%    24%
Conservative         31      5     59     29     27     34     37     24
About right          41     55     24     45     45     38     44     42
DK/NA                 9      3     10     11      7     11      4     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Liberal              15%    22%    18%    20%    22%    17%    19%    10%    19%
Conservative         38     28     34     27     24     36     31     45     35
About right          36     38     44     43     48     39     43     27     33
DK/NA                10     11      3     10      6      8      7     18     13
 
TREND: Do you think the Supreme Court is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
                     Too     Too     About
                     Lib     Cons    Right   DK/NA
 
Jul 02, 2018         19      31      41       9
Apr 21, 2010         29      19      40      12
Jul 17, 2008         25      31      33      10
Aug 16, 2007         20      29      37      13
 
 
26. In general, do you think that the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics or mainly motivated by the law?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Mainly politics      50%    46%    60%    47%    49%    51%    43%    54%
Mainly law           42     47     34     46     45     40     51     37
DK/NA                 7      7      6      7      6      8      6      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Mainly politics      57%    51%    52%    46%    47%    50%    49%    71%    48%
Mainly law           40     44     44     41     47     42     44     21     47
DK/NA                 3      5      4     13      6      8      7      8      5
 
 
27. As you may know, the Supreme Court upheld President Trump's travel ban against citizens of five Muslim majority countries. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              49%    87%    14%    49%    59%    40%    47%    58%
Disapprove           46      8     83     45     36     55     49     34
DK/NA                 5      5      4      5      5      5      4      8
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              37%    50%    55%    50%    63%    44%    52%    25%    45%
Disapprove           56     48     42     43     31     50     42     72     55
DK/NA                 7      2      3      7      6      6      6      3      -
 
 
28. President Trump has the opportunity to make a nomination to the Supreme Court to replace Justice Kennedy. Would you like to see him make the court more conservative, more liberal, or keep the present balance?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
More conservative    31%    68%     6%    25%    38%    26%    29%    40%
More liberal         29      4     59     25     21     34     36     20
Keep the balance     35     26     32     42     36     34     32     34
DK/NA                 5      2      3      9      4      6      2      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
More conservative    22%    36%    33%    33%    41%    29%    35%    17%    24%
More liberal         35     25     30     28     21     34     28     45     27
Keep the balance     35     31     35     33     34     32     33     29     40
DK/NA                 8      8      2      5      3      5      4     10      9
 
 
29. If President Trump nominates a Supreme Court Justice before the November midterm election, do you think the Senate should consider that nomination, or do you think the Senate should not consider any Supreme Court nomination until after the election?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Consider nomination  46%    81%    17%    43%    54%    40%    46%    52%
Not consider nom     48     12     78     50     40     54     49     39
DK/NA                 6      6      4      7      6      6      4      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Consider nomination  38%    48%    51%    47%    57%    43%    49%    22%    43%
Not consider nom     54     46     44     50     37     50     44     73     54
DK/NA                 9      6      5      3      6      7      7      6      3
 
 
30. Do you think it was the right thing or the wrong thing for the Senate Republicans to change the Senate rules so that all Supreme Court nominees can be confirmed with 51 votes instead of 60 votes?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Right thing          33%    63%     9%    28%    41%    25%    30%    39%
Wrong thing          55     23     81     59     46     62     58     46
DK/NA                12     14     10     13     13     12     12     15
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Right thing          25%    34%    36%    33%    43%    27%    34%    15%    34%
Wrong thing          59     57     56     50     43     59     52     75     59
DK/NA                16      9      8     17     13     14     13     10      7
 
TREND: Do you think it was the right thing or the wrong thing for the Senate Republicans to change the Senate rules so that all Supreme Court nominees can be confirmed with 51 votes instead of 60 votes?
                     Right   Wrong    DK/NA
 
Jul 02, 2018         33      55       12
Apr 20, 2017         35      55       10
 
 
31. In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Agree                63%    36%    84%    68%    61%    65%    70%    54%
Disagree             31     58     13     25     32     30     24     40
DK/NA                 6      7      4      7      8      5      5      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Agree                63%    65%    64%    62%    58%    66%    62%    71%    59%
Disagree             31     28     30     32     34     30     32     22     33
DK/NA                 6      6      5      6      8      4      6      7      8
 
TREND: In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
                     Agree   DisAgr  DK/NA
 
Jul 02, 2018         63      31       6
Feb 08, 2017         67      29       4
Jan 27, 2017         70      26       4
Jan 12, 2017         68      28       4
Nov 23, 2016         67      30       3
Feb 07, 2013         63      30       7
Feb 23, 2012         64      31       5
Apr 21, 2010         60      35       5
Jul 17, 2008         63      33       5
Aug 16, 2007         62      32       6
See additional trend information at top of page


34. If the Democratic party wins control of the House of Representatives in 2018, would you like to see them begin the process to impeach President Trump, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Impeach          38%     6%    71%    37%    29%    46%    34%    33%
No                   56     93     20     56     66     48     59     64
DK/NA                 6      1     10      7      5      7      7      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Impeach          46%    36%    39%    35%    24%    41%    34%    63%    52%
No                   49     60     55     59     71     53     61     30     42
DK/NA                 6      4      6      6      5      5      5      7      6
 
TREND: If the Democratic party wins control of the House of Representatives in 2018, would you like to see them begin the process to impeach President Trump, or not?
                     Yes/
                     Impeach No      DK/NA
 
Jul 02, 2018         38      56       6
Jun 08, 2018         36      57       8
Apr 26, 2018         38      55       7
Jan 10, 2018         45      51       5
 
 
35. Do you think President Trump's trade policies are good or bad for the U.S. economy?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Good                 39%    75%     8%    37%    48%    31%    36%    46%
Bad                  50     12     86     50     43     56     54     40
NEITHER (VOL)         1      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
DK/NA                10     12      5     13      8     12      9     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good                 32%    40%    42%    39%    50%    33%    41%    15%    39%
Bad                  54     46     52     51     41     53     47     81     49
NEITHER (VOL)         1      1      1      1      1      1      1      3      1
DK/NA                13     13      6      9      8     13     11      2     11
 
 
36. Do you think President Trump's trade policies are good or bad for your personal financial situation?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Good                 35%    69%     9%    33%    45%    27%    34%    42%
Bad                  46     15     75     47     41     50     48     37
NEITHER (VOL)         7      4      8      8      7      8      8      6
DK/NA                11     12      8     12      7     15     10     15
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good                 30%    36%    40%    35%    47%    31%    38%    17%    33%
Bad                  52     41     49     42     38     47     43     67     50
NEITHER (VOL)         3     10      5     12      8      7      7     10      9
DK/NA                15     13      6     12      8     16     12      6      8
 
 
37. Do you think President Trump's trade policies will result in a trade war, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Trade War        52%    25%    77%    51%    47%    55%    57%    44%
No                   38     65     14     39     45     32     35     43
DK/NA                11     10      9     11      8     13      8     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Trade War        49%    55%    55%    48%    45%    56%    51%    65%    52%
No                   36     34     40     39     47     32     39     22     37
DK/NA                14     11      4     13      9     12     11     13     11
 
 
38. Do you think that a trade war would be good or bad for the U.S. economy?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Good                 17%    31%     4%    17%    21%    13%    13%    20%
Bad                  73     54     93     70     70     75     77     69
DK/NA                10     14      3     12      8     12     10     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Good                 12%    16%    21%    13%    21%    12%    16%     9%    14%
Bad                  80     72     71     75     71     75     73     85     80
DK/NA                 7     12      8     11      8     13     11      6      6