October 1, 2018 - More U.S. Voters Say Don't Confirm Kavanaugh, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Voters Believe Ford Than Kavanaugh Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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With wide gender, racial and partisan gaps, and a shift in support among independent voters, 48 percent of American voters say the U.S. Senate should not confirm Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, as 42 percent say Kavanaugh should be confirmed, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

This compares to the results of a September survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll, showing 41 percent of American voters supporting a Kavanaugh confirmation, with 42 percent opposed. Independent voters, who supported Kavanaugh 45 - 39 percent September 10, oppose his confirmation 49 - 39 percent today.

Women oppose confirmation 55 - 37 percent, while men support it 49 - 40 percent.

White voters say 51 - 40 percent confirm Kavanaugh. Opposed are black voters 81 - 11 percent and Hispanic voters 65 - 30 percent.

Choosing between Kavanaugh and his accuser, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, 48 percent of American voters most believe Ford as 41 percent most believe Kavanaugh.

But 49 percent of voters say Kavanaugh "is the target of a politically motivated smear campaign," as 45 percent of voters say he is not a target of a smear campaign.

And voters say 48 - 41 percent that Dr. Blasey Ford has been treated fairly. At the same time, 47 percent of voters say Kavanaugh has been treated unfairly while 43 percent say he has been treated fairly.

American voters support 68 - 28 percent reopening the FBI background check into Kavanaugh to investigate accusations of sexual misconduct.

"Dr. Christine Blasey Ford is winning the trust of American voters, who overwhelmingly believe she is honest. But about half of voters say Judge Brett Kavanaugh is the target of a smear campaign," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"There is a very sharp divide between men and women on credibility," Malloy added.

"What voters agree on is letting the FBI try to sort out the events in the pursuit of the truth."

American voters are divided on whether Kavanaugh is honest, as 46 percent say yes and 43 percent say no.

Voters say 59 - 25 percent that Blasey Ford is honest.

Senate Democrats, Senate Republicans and President Donald Trump all get bad grades for handling the accusations of sexual misconduct against Kavanaugh:
  • Voters disapprove 52 - 38 percent of how Democrats are handling the accusations;
  • Voters disapprove 56 - 33 percent of how Republicans are doing with the accusations;
  • Voters disapprove by a narrow 49 - 42 percent of how Trump is handling the matter.
"President Donald Trump, who stands by his man, suffers less than Senate Democrats or Republicans in the Kavanaugh matter," Malloy said.

From September 27 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,111 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

4. As you may know, President Trump has nominated Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Confirm          42%    84%     8%    39%    49%    37%    43%    59%
No                   48      9     88     49     40     55     49     31
DK/NA                 9      8      5     12     11      8      8     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Confirm          34%    39%    50%    45%    59%    45%    51%    11%    30%
No                   55     56     41     45     32     46     40     81     65
DK/NA                11      5      8     10     10      9      9      9      5
 
TREND: As you may know, President Trump has nominated Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Do you think the U.S. Senate should confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, or not?
                     Yes/
                     Confirm No      DK/NA
 
Oct 01, 2018         42      48       9
Sep 10, 2018         41      42      17
Aug 15, 2018         44      39      17
Jul 25, 2018         40      41      18
 
 
5. As you may know, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford has accused Judge Brett Kavanaugh of sexually assaulting her in high school. Judge Kavanaugh has denied this accusation. If you had to choose, which do you tend to believe most: the accusation of sexual assault made by Dr. Christine Blasey Ford or the denial made by Judge Brett Kavanaugh?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Believe Blasey Ford  48%    10%    86%    46%    40%    55%    51%    29%
Believe Kavanaugh    41     84      5     38     47     35     40     59
DK/NA                11      5      9     15     13     10      9     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Believe Blasey Ford  57%    52%    41%    46%    32%    46%    40%    83%    66%
Believe Kavanaugh    34     36     49     45     57     43     50      8     27
DK/NA                10     12     10      9     10     11     11      9      7
 
 
6. In general, would you say that - Brett Kavanaugh is honest, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  46%    87%    11%    43%    54%    39%    49%    61%
No                   43      8     77     44     34     50     41     28
DK/NA                11      5     12     13     12     11     10     11
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  35%    42%    58%    49%    65%    47%    55%     7%    34%
No                   52     49     32     42     25     42     34     77     58
DK/NA                13      9     10      9     10     11     10     16      7
 
 
7. In general, would you say that - Christine Blasey Ford is honest, or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  59%    31%    87%    60%    52%    65%    65%    45%
No                   25     48      5     24     27     23     21     34
DK/NA                16     21      8     16     21     12     14     20
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  60%    62%    55%    63%    48%    60%    54%    80%    69%
No                   23     25     30     22     29     27     28     11     20
DK/NA                18     13     15     15     23     13     17      9     11
 
 
8. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way - the Senate Democrats are handling the accusations of sexual misconduct against Judge Kavanaugh?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              38%    11%    70%    36%    36%    40%    39%    27%
Disapprove           52     83     18     54     56     48     55     64
DK/NA                10      6     12     10      8     12      6     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    41%    38%    41%    27%    37%    32%    73%    43%
Disapprove           42     55     55     53     66     54     60     12     37
DK/NA                22      5      7      6      7      9      8     15     19
 
 
9. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way - the Senate Republicans are handling the accusations of sexual misconduct against Judge Kavanaugh?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              33%    62%     9%    31%    38%    29%    36%    45%
Disapprove           56     25     82     60     54     58     58     42
DK/NA                10     13      8      9      8     13      6     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              30%    31%    37%    36%    46%    36%    40%     9%    28%
Disapprove           56     61     55     55     47     52     50     78     62
DK/NA                14      8      9      9      7     12     10     13     11
 
 
10. In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way - President Trump is handling the accusations of sexual misconduct against Judge Kavanaugh?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              42%    77%    13%    39%    48%    36%    43%    57%
Disapprove           49     13     83     50     44     54     50     31
DK/NA                 9     11      4     11      8     10      7     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    39%    48%    43%    57%    45%    51%    15%    24%
Disapprove           59     54     41     47     35     45     40     76     68
DK/NA                 6      7     11     10      8     10      9      9      8
 
 
11. Do you think that Dr. Christine Blasey Ford has been treated fairly or unfairly since she came forward?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Fairly               48%    63%    31%    53%    54%    42%    50%    53%
Unfairly             41     25     59     40     36     46     41     35
DK/NA                11     12     10      8      9     13      9     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Fairly               33%    47%    56%    54%    59%    45%    52%    34%    38%
Unfairly             56     47     33     35     32     43     38     56     49
DK/NA                12      6     11     11      9     12     10     10     13
 
 
12. Do you think that Judge Brett Kavanaugh has been treated fairly or unfairly since Dr. Christine Blasey Ford came forward?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Fairly               43%    14%    72%    45%    41%    46%    46%    31%
Unfairly             47     82     16     47     52     43     47     62
DK/NA                 9      4     12      8      8     11      7      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Fairly               49%    45%    39%    45%    34%    42%    38%    57%    59%
Unfairly             40     46     54     48     61     50     55     19     33
DK/NA                11      9      8      8      5      8      7     24      8
 
 
13. Do you support or oppose re-opening the FBI background check into Judge Kavanaugh in order to investigate the accusations of sexual misconduct?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              68%    41%    90%    71%    65%    71%    69%    60%
Oppose               28     54      7     26     29     27     28     37
DK/NA                 4      5      3      3      6      2      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Support              82%    69%    60%    65%    61%    67%    65%    83%    77%
Oppose               14     30     34     31     35     31     33     13     16
DK/NA                 4      1      6      4      4      2      3      4      7
 
 
14. Do you think that Judge Kavanaugh is the target of a politically motivated smear campaign, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  49%    83%    15%    53%    56%    43%    51%    63%
No                   45     12     81     43     38     51     46     30
DK/NA                 6      5      4      4      6      5      3      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  41%    49%    57%    48%    66%    50%    58%    15%    34%
No                   47     49     40     47     27     46     37     78     59
DK/NA                12      2      3      5      6      4      5      7      7