June 18, 2019 - Biden, Sanders Lead Trump In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Sunshine State Voters Say They're Doing Better Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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In an early look at the 2020 presidential race in Florida, former Vice President Joseph Biden leads President Donald Trump 50 - 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders leads President Trump 48 - 42 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Matchups between Trump and other leading Democratic contenders are too close to call:
  • Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 47 percent to Trump's 43 percent;
  • California Sen. Kamala Harris at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;
  • Former Texas U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;
  • 44 percent for South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg to 43 percent for Trump.
There are deep gender and racial divisions in the Biden-Trump matchup: Biden leads 58 - 34 percent among women, as men go 49 percent for Trump and 42 percent for Biden. Trump leads 52 - 42 percent among white voters, while Biden leads 79 - 9 percent among black voters and 57 - 32 percent among Hispanic voters.

Republicans back Trump 90 - 7 percent. Biden leads 91 - 3 percent among Democrats and 54 - 32 percent among independent voters.

Congress should not begin the process to impeach Trump, Florida voters say 62 - 32 percent. The only listed party, gender, education, age or racial groups supporting impeachment are Democrats, 64 - 28 percent, and black voters, 52 - 41 percent.

"Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"President Donald Trump trails both former Vice President Joseph Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in general election matchups and basically ties other leading Democratic challengers," Brown added. "While most Florida voters are feeling better financially, President Trump remains underwater with a 44 percent job approval rating and a 51 percent disapproval rating."

Trump Approval Rating

Most Florida voters, 54 percent, say they are better off financially today than they were in 2016, as 23 percent say they are worse off.

But Florida voters still give Trump a negative 44 - 51 percent job approval rating, his best approval rating in the state since he was elected and up from a negative 41 - 53 percent score in a March 14 Quinnipiac University poll.

Democratic Primary

With 41 percent among Florida registered Democrats, Biden leads the pack for the March 17 Democratic Primary.

Sanders has 14 percent, with 12 percent for Warren, 8 percent for Buttigieg and 6 percent for Harris. No other contender tops 1 percent, with 16 candidates polling at less than 1 percent.

"Vice President Biden is the big winner in this poll. He leads the Democratic pack by a considerable margin and he runs best of the Democratic candidates when matched up with President Trump," Brown said.

"Biden's 41 percent share of the Democratic primary vote is three times that of the second place contender, Sen. Sanders."

From June 12 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,279 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 417 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.8 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
A lot                48%    51%    59%    36%    48%    48%    60%    49%
Some                 24     27     19     26     24     24     25     25
Only a little        18     14     15     25     16     20     10     19
None at all           9      7      6     13     10      8      5      7
DK/NA                 1      1      -      -      1      1      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
A lot                19%    39%    56%    68%    56%    53%    54%    47%    31%
Some                 29     26     25     18     25     24     25     22     24
Only a little        32     25     10     10     13     16     15     17     28
None at all          19     10      8      3      6      6      6     13     14
DK/NA                 1      1      -      1      -      -      -      -      3
 
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                        Non
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
A lot                60%    65%    50%    63%    65%    57%    67%    51%
Some                 22     28     26     18     20     23     21     23
Only a little        13      6     20     13      9     15      9     18
None at all           5      1      4      7      6      5      4      7
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
 
                     AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
A lot                42%    72%    54%    64%    63%
Some                 27     18     18     24     25
Only a little        22      7     18     10      9
None at all           9      3      9      2      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      -
 
 
2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, and Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                        Non
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Biden                41%    17%    42%    51%    41%    42%    41%    41%
Sanders              14     27     13      8     17     12      8     20
O'Rourke              1      2      1      -      -      1      2      -
Harris                6      9      4      6      6      6      6      7
Warren               12     22     16      6     10     13     14      8
Booker                1      -      -      2      2      1      1      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      -      1      -      1      1      - 
 
Castro                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             8     12      9      5      7      8     14      -
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      3      1      2      1      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      2      4      4      2      3      2
DK/NA                12     10     13     12     12     12      8     17
 
                     AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                26%    52%    42%    42%    44%
Sanders              28      5     16     14      7
O'Rourke              2      -      -      2      2
Harris                5      7      4     10      5
Warren               14     11      8     11     23
Booker                2      -      2      -      -
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             -      1      1      1      1
Castro                -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               -      -      -      -      -
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          1      -      -      1      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             7      8      8      7      7
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      2      2      2      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      2      2      1      2
DK/NA                12     10     15      7      8
 
 
3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Biden                50%     7%    91%    54%    42%    58%    46%    38%
Trump                41     90      3     32     49     34     47     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      2      3      1      1      1
DK/NA                 6      3      3      9      5      7      5      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Biden                51%    51%    53%    48%    33%    51%    42%    79%    57%
Trump                34     38     40     49     61     43     52      9     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       4      1      -      -      1      1      1      1      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      1      2      -      2      1      1      2      3
DK/NA                 7      9      5      2      4      4      4      9      5
 
 
4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Sanders              48%     5%    90%    51%    40%    55%    44%    38%
Trump                42     91      3     34     51     34     50     56
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      3      3      3      2      3      1
DK/NA                 6      3      4     10      4      8      3      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Sanders              60%    47%    48%    44%    31%    49%    41%    77%    56%
Trump                32     40     42     50     64     44     53      9     32
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      4      4      2      2      2      2      3      4
DK/NA                 6      9      5      4      3      4      4      9      8
 
 
5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Elizabeth Warren the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Warren               47%     3%    92%    47%    37%    56%    44%    36%
Trump                43     92      4     37     53     35     50     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      3      2      1      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      4      3      2      2      1
DK/NA                 6      2      3     10      5      7      4      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Warren               53%    44%    47%    46%    29%    49%    40%    73%    53%
Trump                36     44     42     50     64     45     54     10     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      -      1      -      1      1      1      3      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      3      1      2      1      2      4      4
DK/NA                 5      9      6      2      4      4      4     10      5
 
 
6. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Harris               45%     4%    90%    44%    35%    55%    43%    34%
Trump                44     93      4     38     55     35     50     58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      -      2      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      -      2      4      3      1      1      2
DK/NA                 7      2      4     13      6      8      6      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Harris               48%    44%    48%    45%    28%    47%    39%    75%    50%
Trump                37     44     45     50     65     45     54     16     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      -      1      1      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      1      2      1      2      3      2
DK/NA                12     10      4      3      5      5      5      6     11
 
 
7. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Pete Buttigieg the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Buttigieg            44%     4%    86%    44%    34%    53%    43%    33%
Trump                43     91      4     37     53     34     48     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      2      1      1      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      1      4      4      1      1      2
DK/NA                 9      3      9     14      8     11      7      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Buttigieg            47%    42%    45%    45%    29%    46%    38%    68%    48%
Trump                37     42     42     50     63     44     53     15     34
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      -      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      3      1      2      1      1      4      4
DK/NA                11     13      9      5      5      9      7     12     12
 
 
8. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Beto O'Rourke the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
O'Rourke             45%     4%    89%    44%    36%    54%    43%    33%
Trump                44     92      4     38     54     34     49     57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      2      2      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      2      5      3      3      2      2
DK/NA                 7      3      5     11      6      9      5      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
O'Rourke             49%    44%    47%    45%    29%    46%    38%    72%    51%
Trump                39     42     42     50     64     44     53     12     36
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      1      1      1      1      1      2      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      5      3      1      2      2      2      3      4
DK/NA                 8      9      7      4      4      7      6     11      8
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              44%    93%     3%    36%    53%    35%    49%    62%
Disapprove           51      6     93     56     42     59     48     37
DK/NA                 5      1      3      8      5      6      3      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              37%    40%    43%    51%    65%    46%    55%    14%    32%
Disapprove           57     52     52     47     33     51     43     79     58
DK/NA                 5      8      4      2      2      3      2      7     10
 
 
13. Do you think that Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Begin process    32%     2%    64%    31%    25%    38%    28%    26%
No                   62     96     28     62     69     55     69     70
DK/NA                 6      1      8      7      6      7      3      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Begin process    34%    31%    33%    32%    19%    34%    27%    52%    36%
No                   58     65     61     63     79     61     69     41     52
DK/NA                 8      5      6      4      3      5      4      7     12
 
 
14. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially today than you were in 2016?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Better off           54%    84%    23%    55%    65%    45%    54%    61%
Worse off            23      3     45     20     17     28     19     21
SAME(VOL)            20     11     28     22     17     22     25     16
DK/NA                 3      2      4      2      1      5      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Better off           61%    66%    50%    45%    71%    46%    57%    40%    57%
Worse off            19     21     28     23     12     27     20     31     23
SAME(VOL)            16     12     20     28     16     24     20     24     17
DK/NA                 4      1      2      3      1      3      2      4      3