July 2, 2019 - Harris Gets Big Debate Bounce While Biden Sinks Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Despite Drop, Biden Still Seen As Best Bet Against Trump Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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After Democratic presidential contenders duked it out over two nights of debates, former Vice President Joseph Biden hits his lowest number yet in the Democratic primary race with 22 percent of the vote among Democrats and Democratic leaners, virtually tied with California Sen. Kamala Harris who has 20 percent of the vote. Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren follows at 14 percent, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is at 13 percent, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg gets 4 percent, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University National Poll released today. No other candidate tops 3 percent.

This compares to a June 11, 2019 Quinnipiac University Poll which had Biden at 30 percent, Sanders getting 19 percent, Warren with 15 percent, Buttigieg at 8 percent, and Harris with 7 percent.

In today's poll, Biden has a numerical lead among men with 22 percent, followed by Sanders at 19 percent and Harris with 14 percent. But among women, Harris has a slight edge with 24 percent to Biden's 22 percent. The race is similarly close for white Democratic voters, with Biden at 21 percent, and both Harris and Warren at 20 percent. Harris also essentially catches Biden among black Democratic voters, a historically strong voting bloc for Biden, with Biden at 31 percent and Harris at 27 percent.

"Round 1 of the Democratic debates puts Senator Kamala Harris and former Vice President Joe Biden on two different trajectories, as support for Harris surges but continues to slip for Biden. Biden's once commanding lead has evaporated. There are other red flags for him in areas where he still leads, including double digit drops among Democrats and Democratic leaners who view him as the best leader, or as the best candidate to defeat President Trump in 2020," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Mary Snow.

Democrats and Democratic leaners were also asked which candidate they thought had the best chance of winning against President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, regardless of who they support in the primary. Biden tops the field with 42 percent, which is a drop from the 56 percent that he received on April 30. Harris comes in a distant second with 14 percent in today's poll, up from 2 percent in April. Sanders receives 13 percent, and no other candidate reaches double digits.

When asked who would be the best leader, Biden again tops the field with 26 percent, an 18-point drop from the 44 percent he received the last time this question was asked. Harris finishes second with 16 percent, up from 6 percent in April. Sanders and Warren are tied with 15 percent, while no other candidate reaches double digits.

In a question about which candidate has the best policy ideas, Warren takes the lead with 31 percent, compared to 19 percent in April. Sanders is next with 18 percent, while Biden receives 11 percent, a drop from 23 percent in April. Harris is at 8 percent, and no other candidate tops 3 percent.

"When it comes to policy ideas, Senator Elizabeth Warren scores higher than any of the Democratic presidential contenders. However, it didn't give her a boost in her overall numbers in the primary race," Snow added.

The First Debate

Forty percent of Democrats and Democratic leaning voters say they watched most of the debates, while another 40 percent paid close attention to news stories about the debates. Of those who did one or the other, 47 percent say Harris did the best job in the recent debates, followed by Warren at 17 percent, Biden at 6 percent, and Sanders at 5 percent. When asked who did the worst job in the debates, 16 percent of these voters say self-help author Marianne Williamson, while Biden receives a nearly identical 15 percent.

From June 28 - July 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 554 Democrats and voters leaning Democratic nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
A lot                50%    65%    41%    47%    52%    49%    55%    45%
Some                 33     24     33     39     30     35     31     35
Only a little        12     10     17     10     13     11      9     18
None at all           5      1     10      4      4      5      4      2
DK/NA                 -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
A lot                52%    43%    39%    61%    44%    62%    50%
Some                 33     34     36     29     28     25     43
Only a little        11     17     16      8     17      9      7
None at all           4      6      8      1     10      3      -
DK/NA                 -      -      1      -      -      -      -
 
                     DEBATE Q6............
                            Paid   
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
                     
A lot                75%    44%    12%
Some                 19     46     36
Only a little         4     10     33
None at all           3      -     19
DK/NA                 -      -      -
 
 
2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, and Joe Sestak, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                22%    13%    19%    30%    22%    22%    21%    31%
Sanders              13     21     13      8     19     10     11     16
O'Rourke              1      2      1      2      1      2      1      1
Harris               20     21     22     18     14     24     20     27
Warren               14     27     11      8     13     15     20      4
Booker                3      2      5      3      3      4      2      5
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      -      2      2      1      2      -
Castro                1      3      -      1      2      1      1      -
Gabbard               1      1      2      1      3      -      1      -
Inslee                -      1      1      -      -      1      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             4      4      3      5      4      4      6      -
Yang                  1      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      1      1      -      -      2
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      1      3      3      1      4      2      4
DK/NA                12      3     20     14     13     12      9     11
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                22%    24%    17%    28%    21%    24%    19%
Sanders              12     20     22      7     20     12      8
O'Rourke              2      1      1      1      -      3      1
Harris               20     18     12     24     14     22     26
Warren               16      8     14     15     13     10     22
Booker                4      -      4      3      2      6      3
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      2      2      1      -      2      2
Castro                1      2      1      1      1      4      -
Gabbard               -      5      2      1      -      3      2
Inslee                1      -      1      -      1      -      1
Hickenlooper          -      1      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      1      1      -      -      1      -
Buttigieg             4      3      3      5      3      5      6
Yang                  -      1      1      -      -      -      1
Williamson            1      -      -      1      1      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      1      1      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      1      -      1      -      -      1
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      -      4      2      6      1      -
DK/NA                12     13     14     10     17      7      6
 
                     DEBATE Q6............       ATTN TO PRES CAMPAIGN Q1    
                            Paid                               Little/       
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn       A lot  Some   None          
                                                                            
Biden                18%    29%    17%           21%    27%    18%           
Sanders               8     13     24            10     14     22            
O'Rourke              1      1      4             1      3      1            
Harris               29     19      2            25     18      7            
Warren               18     15      3            19     11      4            
Booker                2      5      2             4      3      2            
Gillibrand            -      -      -             -      -      -            
Klobuchar             1      1      4             1      1      4            
Castro                3      1      -             3      -      -            
Gabbard               1      2      -             2      1      -            
Inslee                -      1      2             -      -      2            
Hickenlooper          -      -      -             -      -      -            
Delaney               1      -      -             -      -      -            
Buttigieg             6      3      3             5      4      2            
Yang                  1      -      1             1      1      -            
Williamson            -      1      -             1      -      -            
Messam                -      -      -             -      -      -            
Swalwell              1      -      -             1      -      -            
Ryan                  -      -      -             -      -      -            
Moulton               -      -      -             -      -      -            
Bennet                1      -      -             -      -      -            
Bullock               -      -      -             -      -      -            
de Blasio             -      -      -             -      -      -            
Gravel                -      -      -             -      -      -            
Sestak                -      -      -             -      -      -            
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1             -      -      1            
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -     12             1      3      8            
DK/NA                10      9     26             7     13     30            
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, and Joe Sestak, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                     Jul 02  Jun 11  May 21  Apr 30  Mar 28
                     2019    2019    2019    2019    2019
                             
Biden                22      30      35      38      29
Sanders              13      19      16      11      19
O'Rourke              1       3       2       5      12
Harris               20       7       8       8       8
Warren               14      15      13      12       4
Booker                3       1       3       2       2
Gillibrand            -       -       -       -       -
Klobuchar             1       1       2       1       2
Castro                1       -       1       1       1
Gabbard               1       -       1       -       -
Inslee                -       -       -       1       -
Hickenlooper          -       -       -       -       1
Delaney               -       -       -       -       -
Buttigieg             4       8       5      10       4
Yang                  1       1       1       1       -
Williamson            -       -       -       -       -
Messam                -       -       -       -      na
Swalwell              -       -       -       -      na
Ryan                  -       1       -       -      na
Moulton               -       -       -       -      na
Bennet                -       -       -      na      na
Bullock               -       -       -      na      na
de Blasio             -       -       -      na      na
Gravel                -       -      na      na      na
Sestak                -      na      na      na      na
SMONE ELSE            -       -       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE           3       1       -       2       1
DK/NA                12      13      11       8      14
 
 
3. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                26%    14%    22%    37%    26%    26%    24%    37%
Sanders              15     18     22      7     23      9     10     21
O'Rourke              1      -      3      1      2      -      1      1
Harris               16     21     14     14     10     20     18     15
Warren               15     30      9      9     14     15     20      6
Booker                3      2      5      2      2      3      2      5
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      -      2      2      1      1      -
Castro                1      3      -      1      1      1      1      1
Gabbard               1      1      1      2      2      -      1      -
Inslee                -      1      1      -      -      1      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             4      4      4      3      5      3      5      -
Yang                  -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      1      1      -      -      2
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
DK/NA                15      5     19     17      9     19     14     13
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                27%    24%    20%    33%    23%    32%    23%
Sanders              12     24     24      7     20      9     12
O'Rourke              1      1      1      1      1      1      1
Harris               16     16     12     18     14     17     19
Warren               16     10     15     15     12     14     22
Booker                3      -      3      2      1      5      3
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      2      2      1      -      2      2
Castro                1      1      1      1      1      3      -
Gabbard               1      3      2      -      -      4      1
Inslee                1      -      1      -      1      -      1
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Buttigieg             4      4      3      4      2      4      6
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Williamson            1      -      -      1      1      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      1      1      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      1      -      -
DK/NA                15     14     15     13     21      7      8
 
                     DEBATE Q6............
                            Paid   
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
                     
Biden                23%    34%    15%
Sanders               7     17     24
O'Rourke              2      1      2
Harris               25     13      3
Warren               20     14      6
Booker                2      5      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      4
Castro                2      1      -
Gabbard               2      1      -
Inslee                -      1      2
Hickenlooper          -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             5      4      1
Yang                  1      -      -
Williamson            -      1      -
Messam                -      -      -
Swalwell              1      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      2
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                1      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -
DK/NA                 7      9     42
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think would be the best leader?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                     Jul 02  Apr 30  
                     2019    2019    
 
Biden                26      44      
Sanders              15      11      
O'Rourke              1       3      
Harris               16       6      
Warren               15      11      
Booker                3       2      
Gillibrand            -       1      
Klobuchar             1       1      
Castro                1       1      
Gabbard               1       -      
Inslee                -       -      
Hickenlooper          -       -      
Delaney               -       -      
Buttigieg             4       7      
Yang                  -       -      
Williamson            -       -      
Messam                -       -      
Swalwell              -       -      
Ryan                  -       -      
Moulton               -       -      
Bennet                -      na      
Bullock               -      na      
de Blasio             -      na      
Gravel                -      na      
Sestak                -      na      
SMONE ELSE            -       -      
DK/NA                15      12      
 
 
4. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                11%    10%    10%    12%    11%    10%     9%    14%
Sanders              18     19     22     14     26     12     15     22
O'Rourke              -      -      -      1      -      1      -      1
Harris                8      9      8      8      7      9      7     11
Warren               31     48     27     22     28     33     40     21
Booker                2      -      4      2      1      3      1      4
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      -      -      2      1      1      1      1
Castro                1      2      -      1      -      1      1      1
Gabbard               1      1      2      1      2      -      1      -
Inslee                -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             3      2      3      4      4      3      5      1
Yang                  -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      1      1      -      -      2
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      2      -      -      1      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                22      6     23     30     14     27     20     22
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                11%     7%     8%    13%    12%    13%     7%
Sanders              15     27     25     12     20     19     16
O'Rourke              -      1      1      -      -      2      -
Harris                8      9      5     10     10     10      6
Warren               33     22     27     35     25     28     44
Booker                3      -      3      1      1      5      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      -      -      1      -      1      2
Castro                1      -      1      1      1      2      1
Gabbard               1      3      2      -      -      4      1
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             3      4      3      4      1      5      6
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Williamson            1      -      -      1      1      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      1      1      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      2      1      -      1      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      1      -
DK/NA                21     23     23     19     27     10     15
 
                     DEBATE Q6............
                            Paid   
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
                     
Biden                 9%    12%    12%
Sanders              10     22     24
O'Rourke              1      -      1
Harris               11     10      -
Warren               44     28      7
Booker                1      4      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -
Klobuchar             2      1      -
Castro                2      -      -
Gabbard               1      2      -
Inslee                -      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             5      3      -
Yang                  1      -      -
Williamson            -      1      -
Messam                -      -      -
Swalwell              1      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      2
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -
Gravel                -      1      -
Sestak                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -
DK/NA                11     16     54
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best policy ideas?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                     Jul 02  Apr 30  
                     2019    2019    
 
Biden                11      23      
Sanders              18      16      
O'Rourke              -       2       
Harris                8       7       
Warren               31      19        
Booker                2       1       
Gillibrand            -       1       
Klobuchar             1       1       
Castro                1       -       
Gabbard               1       -       
Inslee                -       1       
Hickenlooper          -       -       
Delaney               -       -       
Buttigieg             3       9       
Yang                  -       1       
Williamson            -       -       
Messam                -       -       
Swalwell              -       -       
Ryan                  -       -       
Moulton               -       -       
Bennet                -      na        
Bullock               -      na        
de Blasio             -      na        
Gravel                -      na        
Sestak                -      na        
SMONE ELSE            -       -       
DK/NA                22      19        
 
 
5. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                           POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                42%    29%    35%    56%    43%    41%    40%    53%
Sanders              13     17     18      7     20      8     11     17
O'Rourke              -      1      -      -      -      1      1      -
Harris               14     18     18     10     10     17     14     15
Warren                9     21      4      5      9      9     12      4
Booker                1      -      1      1      1      -      1      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             -      -      -      1      -      1      1      -
Castro                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               1      -      1      -      1      -      -      -
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             1      1      1      1      -      1      1      -
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -      1      1      -      -      2
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      1      -      -      -
DK/NA                17     11     20     16     13     20     19      7
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                42%    40%    39%    46%    39%    45%    42%
Sanders              11     21     20      7     17     14     10
O'Rourke              -      -      -      -      -      2      -
Harris               15     10     11     15     12     13     21
Warren               10      5      9      9      9      9     12
Booker                1      -      1      1      -      2      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             -      1      -      1      -      1      1
Castro                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               -      2      1      -      -      1      1
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             1      -      1      1      1      1      1
Yang                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Williamson            1      -      -      1      1      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                16     20     17     16     20     12     10
 
                     DEBATE Q6............
                            Paid   
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
                     
Biden                40%    49%    31%
Sanders               8     17     18
O'Rourke              -      -      1
Harris               23     10      6
Warren               14      8      2
Booker                1      1      -
Gillibrand            -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      -      -
Castro                -      -      -
Gabbard               -      1      -
Inslee                -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             2      1      -
Yang                  -      -      -
Williamson            -      1      -
Messam                -      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      2
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      1
Gravel                -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -
DK/NA                10     12     39
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS
                     Jul 02  Apr 30  
                     2019    2019    
 
Biden                42      56      
Sanders              13      12      
O'Rourke              -       3       
Harris               14       2       
Warren                9       3        
Booker                1       3       
Gillibrand            -       1       
Klobuchar             -       -       
Castro                -       -       
Gabbard               1       -       
Inslee                -       -       
Hickenlooper          -       -       
Delaney               -       -       
Buttigieg             1       4       
Yang                  -       -       
Williamson            -       -       
Messam                -       -       
Swalwell              -       -       
Ryan                  -       -       
Moulton               -       -       
Bennet                -      na        
Bullock               -      na        
de Blasio             -      na        
Gravel                -      na        
Sestak                -      na        
SMONE ELSE            -       1       
DK/NA                17      15        
 
 
6. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) As you may know, there were two debates among the Democratic presidential candidates on Wednesday, June 26th and Thursday, June 27th. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debates; I did not watch or listen to the debates, but I paid close attention to news stories about them afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debates or pay close attention to news stories about them?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS........................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Watched/listened     40%    49%    33%    39%    38%    42%    45%    27%
Paid attn to news    40     41     48     36     46     36     36     59
No watch/listen/attn 18     10     19     23     14     21     18     13
DK/NA                 1      -      -      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Watched/listened     42%    34%    32%    46%    33%    45%    47%
Paid attn to news    40     40     44     38     38     41     41
No watch/listen/attn 17     26     24     14     28     15     11
DK/NA                 1      1      1      1      1      -      1
 
 
6a. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q6) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, or Bill de Blasio?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                     WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q6
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                 6%     1%     6%     9%     6%     5%     4%     6%
Sanders               5     10      4      2      8      2      4      3
O'Rourke              1      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
Harris               47     58     45     41     42     50     51     45
Warren               17     22      9     18     16     17     18     15
Booker                1      1      -      2      1      1      1      -
Gillibrand            -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      -      2      1      1      2      2      -
Castro                3      2      2      3      4      2      3      2
Gabbard               1      -      1      1      2      -      -      -
Inslee                -      -      1      -      1      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             3      3      5      3      4      2      4      1
Yang                  -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
Williamson            1      -      -      1      1      -      -      3
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                14      2     25     16     11     17     12     26
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                 6%     6%     5%     6%     7%     4%     4%
Sanders               3     13      8      3      8      3      5
O'Rourke              1      1      1      -      1      1      -
Harris               48     41     42     50     46     49     51
Warren               18     13     17     17     14     14     24
Booker                1      2      1      1      1      2      -
Gillibrand            1      -      1      -      -      -      1
Klobuchar             1      2      2      1      2      -      1
Castro                2      5      2      3      2      3      3
Gabbard               1      2      2      -      -      3      -
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             3      3      2      4      2      6      4
Yang                  -      2      1      -      -      1      -
Williamson            1      -      -      1      2      -      -
Swalwell              -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                15     10     15     13     15     13      7
 
                     DEBATE Q6..
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn
 
Biden                 6%     5% 
Sanders               5      5  
O'Rourke              -      1  
Harris               52     41  
Warren               16     17  
Booker                1      1  
Gillibrand            1      -  
Klobuchar             1      1  
Castro                4      2  
Gabbard               1      1  
Inslee                -      -  
Hickenlooper          -      -  
Delaney               -      -  
Buttigieg             5      1  
Yang                  1      -  
Williamson            -      1  
Swalwell              -      -  
Ryan                  -      -  
Bennet                -      -  
de Blasio             -      -  
DK/NA                 7     22  
 
 
6b. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q6) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........................
                     WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q6
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk
 
Biden                15%    22%    11%    12%    19%    12%    17%     9%
Sanders               3      1      3      4      2      3      3      2
O'Rourke              7     13      6      5      8      7      8      7
Harris                2      -      1      4      3      1      2      -
Warren                1      -      2      2      2      1      1      -
Booker                3      3      3      2      3      3      3      1
Gillibrand            1      1      -      2      1      1      -      3
Klobuchar             1      2      -      -      1      -      -      2
Castro                1      -      -      3      2      1      1      -
Gabbard               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Inslee                1      -      1      1      1      1      1      -
Hickenlooper          1      1      -      1      1      -      -      1
Delaney               1      -      1      -      -      1      1      -
Buttigieg             1      -      2      -      1      -      -      -
Yang                  7     13      2      6      5      9      7      4
Williamson           16     19     14     14     13     17     17     16
Swalwell              1      3      -      -      2      1      2      1
Ryan                  1      1      3      -      1      1      1      -
Bennet                1      1      -      2      -      1      1      2
de Blasio             2      2      3      1      3      1      2      1
DK/NA                36     20     46     39     31     39     33     52
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-49  50+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                12%    28%    16%    15%    12%    12%    23%
Sanders               3      -      3      3      3      3      1
O'Rourke              8      3     11      5      7     10      7
Harris                2      3      3      1      2      4      1
Warren                1      2      3      -      2      1      1
Booker                2      6      4      2      2      2      2
Gillibrand            1      1      2      1      -      2      2
Klobuchar             1      1      1      -      1      -      -
Castro                1      2      2      1      1      2      1
Gabbard               -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Inslee                1      1      -      1      1      -      1
Hickenlooper          -      2      1      1      -      1      1
Delaney               1      -      -      1      1      -      -
Buttigieg             -      1      -      1      -      -      1
Yang                  7      6      6      7      5     10      8
Williamson           16     15     17     15     16     16     16
Swalwell              1      -      2      1      -      3      1
Ryan                  1      -      1      1      1      3      1
Bennet                1      -      1      1      -      3      1
de Blasio             1      4      1      2      2      1      2
DK/NA                38     23     28     42     43     27     28
 
                     DEBATE Q6..
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn
 
Biden                15%    15% 
Sanders               4      2  
O'Rourke              9      6  
Harris                2      2  
Warren                2      1  
Booker                2      3  
Gillibrand            1      1  
Klobuchar             1      -  
Castro                1      1  
Gabbard               -      -  
Inslee                1      -  
Hickenlooper          -      1  
Delaney               1      -  
Buttigieg             1      1  
Yang                 10      4  
Williamson           22     10  
Swalwell              3      -  
Ryan                  -      2  
Bennet                -      2  
de Blasio             2      1  
DK/NA                23     48