August 6, 2019 - Warren Up, Harris Down, But Biden Leads Among U.S. Dems Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 14 Dems Have Less Than 1 Percent Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is the big winner in the second round of Democratic presidential debates, but former Vice President Joseph Biden retains his front-runner status with 32 percent of Democrats and independent voters who lean Democratic, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren has 21 percent among Democrats, with 14 percent for Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and 7 percent for California Sen. Kamala Harris.

This compares to results of a July 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh- pe-ack) University National Poll, showing Biden with 34 percent, Warren with 15 percent, Harris with 12 percent and Sanders with 11 percent.

In today's results:
  • Biden gets 47 percent of black Democrats, with 16 percent for Sanders, 8 percent for Warren and 1 percent for Harris;
  • Women Democrats go 31 percent for Biden, 24 percent for Warren, 10 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Harris;
  • Very liberal Democrats go 40 percent for Warren, 20 percent for Sanders, 19 percent for Biden and 7 percent for Harris;
  • Somewhat liberal Democrats go 28 percent for Biden, 20 percent for Warren, 14 percent for Sanders and 10 percent for Harris;
  • Moderate/conservative Democrats go 43 percent for Biden, 11 percent for Warren, 9 percent for Sanders, and 4 percent each for Harris and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg.
Buttigieg gets 5 percent and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker and former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke have 2 percent each. There are 4 candidates with 1 percent each and 14 candidates at less than 1 percent each.

"Biden survives, Warren thrives and Harris dives as debate number two shakes up the primary," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Sen. Elizabeth Warren's policy heavy presentation and former Vice President Joseph Biden's ability to handle the heat from all corners put them on top," Malloy added. "Sen. Kamala Harris, whose 20 percent score put her neck-and-neck with Biden in a Quinnipiac University poll July 2 after the first debate, is now a distant fourth with 7 percent.

"Take a snapshot now, because for most of the contenders registering one percentage point or less, there will likely be no debate number three."

Biden would be the best leader, 33 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners say, with 22 percent for Warren, 13 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Harris.

Warren has the best policy ideas, 32 percent of Democrats say, with 17 percent for Biden, 16 percent for Sanders and 5 percent each for Harris and Buttigieg.

Biden has the best chance of beating President Donald Trump in the general election, 49 percent of Democrats say, with 12 percent for Sanders, 9 percent for Warren and 6 percent for Harris.

While 50 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners prefer a presidential candidate who is "most electable," 46 percent prefer a candidate who most shares their views on issues.

Scoring the Debate

A total of 81 percent of Democrats and Democratic leaners watched or listened to all or most of the two-night Democratic presidential debate or paid close attention to media stories about the debate.

Of that group, 28 percent say Warren did the "best job" in the debate, with 15 percent for Biden, 8 percent for Sanders and 8 percent for Harris.

Of that same group, 9 percent say Biden and another 9 percent say self-help advisor Marianne Williamson did the "worst job," with 7 percent for Harris and 6 percent each for New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio and former U.S. Rep. John Delaney.

From August 1 - 5, Quinnipiac University surveyed 807 Democrats and independent voters leaning Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
A lot                58%    69%    53%    55%    59%    57%    64%    53%    63%    67%
Some                 25     18     32     24     24     26     23     22     27     17
Only a little        13     11     11     16     13     13     10     17      8     14
None at all           4      1      4      5      3      4      2      7      2      3
DK/NA                 -      1      -      -      -      -      -      2      -      -
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
A lot                59%    55%    45%    51%    66%    68%    50%    63%    63%
Some                 25     26     26     31     21     21     25     22     25
Only a little        12     16     19     17      8      9     19     12      8
None at all           4      3     10      1      3      2      6      3      4
DK/NA                 1      -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -
 
                     DEBATE Q7............
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
 
A lot                84%    55%    15%
Some                 12     31     34
Only a little         3     12     36
None at all           1      2     14
DK/NA                 -      -      2
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.........
                                     OnlyA   None
                     A lot   Some    Little  AtAll   DK/NA
 
Aug 06, 2019         58      25      13       4       -
Jul 02, 2019         50      33      12       5       -
 
 
2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                32%    19%    28%    43%    33%    31%    30%    47%    25%    38%
Sanders              14     20     14      9     19     10     10     16     11      9
O'Rourke              2      1      1      2      1      2      1      2      1      -
Harris                7      7     10      4      6      7      8      1      8      7
Warren               21     40     20     11     16     24     27      8     28     26
Booker                2      1      2      3      3      2      2      -      3      2
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Klobuchar             1      -      1      2      1      2      2      -      2      1
Castro                1      1      -      2      1      1      1      -      1      -
Gabbard               1      -      1      1      2      -      1      -      1      1
Inslee                -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1      1      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             5      5      8      4      5      5      7      1      8      5
Yang                  1      1      1      2      2      1      1      1      1      -
Williamson            -      -      1      1      -      1      -      -      -      1
Messam                -      -      2      -      -      1      -      2      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      -      1
Bullock               -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1
DK/NA                10      4     11     11      7     11      8     18      9      8
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                33%    29%    15%    30%    39%    42%    33%    32%    31%
Sanders              12     17     24     19      6      5     19     11      6
O'Rourke              2      1      2      1      2      1      -      2      3
Harris                7      4      5      7      7      7      5      5     10
Warren               22     17     25     19     23     18     20     25     19
Booker                2      2      3      2      2      2      3      1      3
Gillibrand            -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      1      1      1      2      1      1      2
Castro                1      2      2      2      -      -      1      2      1
Gabbard               1      2      1      1      2      -      1      1      2
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      1      1      -      1      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             4      8      9      4      4      5      2      6      9
Yang                  1      4      4      1      1      1      1      1      2
Williamson            -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
Messam                1      -      2      -      -      -      1      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Bullock               -      1      -      1      -      -      -      1      -
de Blasio             -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -      1      -      1      1      -      1
DK/NA                10      9      5      9     10     14     10      9      9
 
                     DEBATE Q7............       ATTN TO PRES CAMPAIGN Q1
                            Paid                               Little/   
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn       A lot  Some   None      
                                                                         
Biden                34%    28%    38%           32%    31%    30%       
Sanders               8     18     12            11     19     16        
O'Rourke              1      2      1             1      -      4        
Harris                7      6      7             8      7      2        
Warren               24     23      9            25     17     13        
Booker                3      3      -             3      2      -        
Gillibrand            -      -      1             -      -      1        
Klobuchar             2      1      1             1      1      2        
Castro                -      2      1             1      1      3        
Gabbard               2      1      -             1      -      2        
Inslee                -      -      1             -      -      1        
Hickenlooper          -      1      1             -      1      -        
Delaney               -      -      -             -      -      -        
Buttigieg             7      6      2             6      6      3        
Yang                  2      1      2             1      2      2        
Williamson            -      1      1             -      1      -        
Messam                -      -      2             -      2      -        
Ryan                  -      -      -             -      -      -        
Moulton               -      -      -             -      -      -        
Bennet                -      -      -             -      -      -        
Bullock               -      -      -             -      -      1        
de Blasio             -      -      1             -      1      -        
Gravel                -      -      -             -      -      -        
Sestak                -      -      -             -      -      -        
Steyer                -      -      -             -      -      -           
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      2             -      -      1        
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      -      -             1      -      -        
DK/NA                 7      8     19             8      7     19
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, Mike Gravel, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........................
                     Aug 06  Jul 29  Jul 02  Jun 11  May 21  Apr 30  Mar 28
                     2019    2019    2019    2019    2019    2019    2019
                                             
Biden                32      34      22      30      35      38      29
Sanders              14      11      13      19      16      11      19
O'Rourke              2       2       1       3       2       5      12
Harris                7      12      20       7       8       8       8
Warren               21      15      14      15      13      12       4
Booker                2       1       3       1       3       2       2
Gillibrand            -       -       -       -       -       -       -
Klobuchar             1       1       1       1       2       1       2
Castro                1       -       1       -       1       1       1
Gabbard               1       1       1       -       1       -       -
Inslee                -       -       -       -       -       1       -
Hickenlooper          -       -       -       -       -       -       1
Delaney               -       -       -       -       -       -       -
Buttigieg             5       6       4       8       5      10       4
Yang                  1       2       1       1       1       1       -
Williamson            -       1       -       -       -       -       -
Messam                -       -       -       -       -       -      na
Ryan                  -       -       -       1       -       -      na
Moulton               -       -       -       -       -       -      na
Bennet                -       -       -       -       -      na      na
Bullock               -       -       -       -       -      na      na
de Blasio             -       -       -       -       -      na      na
Gravel                -       -       -       -      na      na      na
Sestak                -       -       -      na      na      na      na
Steyer                -       -      na      na      na      na      na
Swalwell             na      na       -       -       -       -      na
SMONE ELSE            -       -       -       -       -       -       1
WLDN'T VOTE           1       1       3       1       -       2       1
DK/NA                10      12      12      13      11       8      14        
 
 
3. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - would be the best leader?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                           LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                33%    20%    30%    42%    35%    31%    31%    47%    26%    38%
Sanders              13     17     14      9     15     11      9     16      9      9
O'Rourke              1      -      2      2      1      2      -      -      1      -
Harris                7      9      8      6      8      7      7      6      8      6
Warren               22     40     25     10     18     24     28     12     27     30
Booker                2      2      2      3      3      2      3      -      3      1
Gillibrand            -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Klobuchar             1      -      1      2      1      1      2      -      2      -
Castro                1      1      -      2      2      1      1      1      1      1
Gabbard               1      -      1      1      2      -      1      -      -      2
Inslee                -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             5      4      5      5      6      4      6      3      9      1
Yang                  1      1      -      1      1      1      -      -      -      -
Williamson            -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                12      6     10     16      8     15     11     16     12     10
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                34%    28%    15%    33%    38%    44%    31%    35%    32%
Sanders              12     16     25     14      7      5     19     12      4
O'Rourke              2      -      4      1      1      -      -      2      3
Harris                8      6      6     10      8      4      9      5      9
Warren               23     19     26     23     21     19     19     27     22
Booker                2      2      2      2      3      2      3      1      2
Gillibrand            -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Klobuchar             1      1      1      -      1      2      1      1      2
Castro                1      1      2      1      1      -      1      1      1
Gabbard               1      2      1      1      1      -      1      -      1
Inslee                -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             4      8      6      4      5      5      2      3     11
Yang                  -      3      3      -      -      1      1      -      1
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                12     14      7     11     12     17     12     11      9
 
                     DEBATE Q7............
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
 
Biden                36%    29%    33%
Sanders               7     16     16
O'Rourke              -      2      1
Harris                8      7      6
Warren               25     24     10
Booker                4      1      -
Gillibrand            -      -      1
Klobuchar             2      1      1
Castro                1      1      1
Gabbard               1      1      -
Inslee                -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             6      6      1
Yang                  1      -      2
Williamson            -      -      1
Messam                -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1
DK/NA                 7     10     25
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think would be the best leader?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..
                     Aug 06  Jul 29  Jul 02  Apr 30
                     2019    2019    2019    2019
                             
Biden                33      36      26      44
Sanders              13      12      15      11
O'Rourke              1       1       1       3
Harris                7       9      16       6
Warren               22      17      15      11
Booker                2       1       3       2
Gillibrand            -       -       -       1
Klobuchar             1       1       1       1
Castro                1       -       1       1
Gabbard               1       -       1       -
Inslee                -       -       -       -
Hickenlooper          -       -       -       -
Delaney               -       -       -       -
Buttigieg             5       5       4       7
Yang                  1       1       -       -
Williamson            -       1       -       -
Messam                -       -       -       -
Ryan                  -       -       -       -
Moulton               -       -       -       -
Bennet                -       -       -      na
Bullock               -       -       -      na
de Blasio             -       -       -      na
Gravel                -       -       -      na
Sestak                -       -       -      na
Steyer                -       -      na      na
Swalwell             na      na       -       -
SMONE ELSE            -       -       -       -
DK/NA                12      15      15      12
 
 
4. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best policy ideas?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                17%    13%    13%    22%    16%    18%    17%    19%    11%    26%
Sanders              16     18     18     13     21     13     11     22     11     12
O'Rourke              1      -      -      2      1      1      1      -      -      1
Harris                5      6      6      5      4      6      6      4      5      6
Warren               32     47     38     21     31     33     38     29     41     34
Booker                1      -      1      2      1      1      2      -      2      2
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Klobuchar             1      1      1      2      1      1      1      -      2      1
Castro                -      -      -      1      -      -      -      2      -      -
Gabbard               1      -      2      1      3      -      1      2      1      1
Inslee                1      2      -      -      1      1      1      -      2      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      1
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             5      4      4      5      5      4      4      5      6      -
Yang                  1      1      1      2      2      1      1      -      1      1
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      1      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                17      7     15     22     14     19     16     18     16     14
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                17%    17%     4%    14%    23%    26%    16%    17%    14%
Sanders              16     15     30     18      8      7     24     14      9
O'Rourke              1      -      2      2      -      -      -      2      2
Harris                6      4      5      6      4      3      5      6      5
Warren               35     24     33     36     35     28     27     37     39
Booker                1      1      1      -      1      3      2      1      1
Gillibrand            -      1      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
Klobuchar             1      1      -      -      2      2      1      1      1
Castro                -      1      -      1      1      -      -      -      1
Gabbard               1      2      2      1      1      -      2      1      1
Inslee                1      -      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             4      6      4      5      5      5      1      6      8
Yang                  1      3      4      1      -      1      2      1      2
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Bullock               -      1      -      1      -      -      -      1      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                15     26     14     12     17     22     19     10     16
 
                     DEBATE Q7............
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
 
Biden                20%    14%    17%
Sanders               9     18     24
O'Rourke              -      2      1
Harris                5      6      4
Warren               38     35     15
Booker                2      1      -
Gillibrand            -      -      1
Klobuchar             2      1      1
Castro                1      -      -
Gabbard               2      1      -
Inslee                2      -      -
Hickenlooper          1      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             6      6      1
Yang                  2      1      2
Williamson            -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -
Ryan                  -      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                1      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -
DK/NA                10     16     33
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best policy ideas?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..
                     Aug 06  Jul 29  Jul 02  Apr 30
                     2019    2019    2019    2019
                             
Biden                17      21      11      23
Sanders              16      16      18      16
O'Rourke              1       1       -       2
Harris                5       6       8       7
Warren               32      26      31      19
Booker                1       1       2       1
Gillibrand            -       -       -       1
Klobuchar             1       1       1       1
Castro                -       1       1       -
Gabbard               1       1       1       -
Inslee                1       -       -       1
Hickenlooper          -       -       -       -
Delaney               -       -       -       -
Buttigieg             5       5       3       9
Yang                  1       2       -       1
Williamson            -       1       -       -
Messam                -       -       -       -
Ryan                  -       -       -       -
Moulton               -       -       -       -
Bennet                -       -       -      na
Bullock               -       -       -      na
de Blasio             -       -       -      na
Gravel                -       -       -      na
Sestak                -       -       -      na
Steyer                -       -      na      na
Swalwell             na      na       -       -
SMONE ELSE            -       -       -       -
DK/NA                17      20      22      19
 
 
5. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think - has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                49%    45%    44%    56%    49%    49%    53%    54%    50%    58%
Sanders              12     16     13     10     19      9      8     14      9      7
O'Rourke              2      -      2      2      -      2      -      -      -      -
Harris                6      5      7      5      4      6      6      3      6      7
Warren                9     16      8      6     10      9     10      7     11      9
Booker                1      -      2      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
Gillibrand            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             -      1      -      -      -      -      1      -      -      1
Castro                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               -      -      1      -      1      -      1      -      1      1
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             1      2      2      1      2      1      2      -      3      -
Yang                  1      1      1      -      1      -      1      -      1      -
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  1      -      -      1      -      1      -      3      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
DK/NA                17     13     20     15     10     20     16     19     16     17
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                49%    49%    32%    46%    57%    60%    44%    53%    54%
Sanders              12     14     26     16      5      3     18     11      6
O'Rourke              2      -      4      1      -      -      -      4      2
Harris                6      5      7      5      4      6      3      5     10
Warren               11      6     14     10     10      6     11      9      8
Booker                1      1      1      -      1      1      1      -      1
Gillibrand            -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Klobuchar             -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      1
Castro                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               -      2      1      -      1      -      1      -      1
Inslee                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Buttigieg             1      3      1      3      1      1      -      1      3
Yang                  1      1      1      -      -      1      -      1      1
Williamson            -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Ryan                  1      -      2      -      1      -      1      -      -
Moulton               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      1      -      1      1      1      -      -
DK/NA                17     17     11     17     17     21     20     15     12
 
                     DEBATE Q7............
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn
 
Biden                54%    48%    43%
Sanders               8     15     15
O'Rourke              -      3      1
Harris                9      4      2
Warren               10     10      7
Booker                1      1      -
Gillibrand            -      -      1
Klobuchar             -      1      -
Castro                -      -      -
Gabbard               1      -      -
Inslee                -      -      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -
Buttigieg             1      2      1
Yang                  1      -      -
Williamson            -      -      -
Messam                -      -      -
Ryan                  1      -      2
Moulton               -      -      -
Bennet                -      -      -
Bullock               -      -      -
de Blasio             -      -      -
Gravel                -      -      -
Sestak                -      -      -
Steyer                -      -      -
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -
DK/NA                13     15     28
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Regardless of how you intend to vote in the Democratic primary for president, which candidate do you think has the best chance of winning against Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..
                     Aug 06  Jul 29  Jul 02  Apr 30
                     2019    2019    2019    2019
                             
Biden                49      51      42      56
Sanders              12      10      13      12
O'Rourke              2       -       -       3
Harris                6       8      14       2
Warren                9       8       9       3
Booker                1       1       1       3
Gillibrand            -       -       -       1
Klobuchar             -       -       -       -
Castro                -       -       -       -
Gabbard               -       -       1       -
Inslee                -       -       -       -
Hickenlooper          -       -       -       -
Delaney               -       1       -       -
Buttigieg             1       1       1       4
Yang                  1       -       -       -
Williamson            -       -       -       -
Messam                -       -       -       -
Ryan                  1       -       -       -
Moulton               -       -       -       -
Bennet                -       -       -      na
Bullock               -       -       -      na
de Blasio             -       -       -      na
Gravel                -       -       -      na
Sestak                -       -       -      na
Steyer                -       -       na     na
Swalwell             na      na       -       -
SMONE ELSE            1       -       -       1
DK/NA                17      20      17      15
                                                                                                   
 
6. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Thinking about the 2020 Democratic primary for president, if all other things are equal, would you prefer a candidate that most shares your views on issues or a candidate that you think is the most electable?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Shares views         46%    52%    43%    44%    44%    47%    42%    46%    36%    52%
Most electable       50     47     53     52     53     49     55     46     61     45
DOESN'T MATTER(VOL)   1      -      1      2      -      2      -      5      1      -
DK/NA                 3      1      3      3      2      3      3      3      3      3
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Shares views         45%    50%    57%    54%    42%    31%    49%    47%    38%
Most electable       52     46     43     41     54     63     45     49     61
DOESN'T MATTER(VOL)   1      2      -      2      2      2      3      1      -
DK/NA                 3      2      -      3      3      4      3      3      1
 
                     DEBATE Q7............       
                            Paid                 CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2
                     Watch  Attn   No Attn       Biden  Sanders Warren  
                                                                       
Shares views         36%    51%    54%           40%    67%     46%     
Most electable       62     46     40            57     28      53      
DOESN'T MATTER(VOL)   1      2      -             1      3       -      
DK/NA                 2      1      5             3      2       1      
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Thinking about the 2020 Democratic primary for president, if all other things are equal, would you prefer a candidate that most shares your views on issues or a candidate that you think is the most electable?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..
                     Shares  Most    DOESN'T   
                     views   elect   MATTER  DK/NA
 
Aug 06, 2019         46      50       1       3
Mar 28, 2019         51      45       1       3
 
 
7. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) As you may know, there were two debates among the Democratic presidential candidates on Tuesday, July 30th and Wednesday, July 31st. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debates; I did not watch or listen to the debates, but I paid close attention to news stories about them afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debates or pay close attention to news stories about them?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Watched/listened     35%    34%    37%    34%    36%    34%    39%    26%    38%    42%
Paid attn to news    46     55     43     43     46     46     44     50     47     39
No attn to debate    18     11     19     22     18     19     16     24     14     18
DK/NA                 1      -      1      1      -      1      1      -      1      1
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Watched/listened     36%    33%    25%    24%    38%    50%    30%    38%    38%
Paid attn to news    48     39     47     56     46     36     45     45     48
No attn to debate    16     27     27     19     16     13     25     17     14
DK/NA                 -      1      -      1      -      2      1      -      -
 
TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) As you may know, there were two debates among the Democratic presidential candidates on Tuesday, July 30th and Wednesday, July 31st. Which of the following statements best describes you: I watched or listened to all or most of the debates; I did not watch or listen to the debates, but I paid close attention to news stories about them afterwards; I did not watch or listen to the debates or pay close attention to news stories about them? (Note: Dates are based on most recent debate)
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..
                     Watch/   Paid    No   
                     listen   attn    attn   DK/NA
 
Aug 06, 2019         35       46      18      1
Jul 02, 2019         40       40      18      1
 
 
7a. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, or Steve Bullock?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                     WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q7..............
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                15%    14%    10%    18%    12%    16%    11%    16%     7%    18%
Sanders               8     11      5      8      8      8      8      8      8      8
O'Rourke              2      -      -      3      1      2      1      -      -      1
Harris                8      7     12      6      7      8      7      6      7      8
Warren               28     33     34     23     30     27     32     23     36     26
Booker                7      4      8      9      5      8      7      7      9      4
Gillibrand            -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1      -      -
Klobuchar             1      1      1      2      1      1      2      -      3      1
Castro                1      -      3      1      2      1      1      3      1      1
Gabbard               3      4      1      3      5      1      3      -      1      7
Inslee                -      1      -      1      -      1      1      -      1      -
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      1      -      1      -      -      1      -      -
Buttigieg             4      3      3      5      3      4      4      5      4      3
Yang                  2      3      3      1      2      2      2      4      2      1
Williamson            2      4      2      1      2      2      2      5      1      3
Ryan                  -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      1
Bennet                1      -      -      2      -      1      1      2      -      2
de Blasio             -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1
Bullock               -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
DK/NA                17     15     16     18     19     17     17     19     19     15
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                16%    10%     7%    14%    17%    17%    14%    16%    10%
Sanders               8      7     15      7      5      4     11      6      4
O'Rourke              2      1      3      2      1      -      -      2      2
Harris                7     11      9      5      8      8      8      9      8
Warren               28     27     26     29     31     30     23     28     38
Booker                8      5      7     12      6      6     10      6      8
Gillibrand            -      1      -      2      -      -      -      -      1
Klobuchar             2      1      -      -      3      2      -      3      1
Castro                1      -      4      -      1      -      2      -      2
Gabbard               2      6      7      2      2      1      3      3      2
Inslee                1      -      -      -      1      1      -      -      1
Hickenlooper          -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
Delaney               -      -      -      1      -      -      -      1      -
Buttigieg             2      9      1      5      3      5      3      4      5
Yang                  2      2      5      2      1      1      1      2      3
Williamson            1      4      2      3      1      2      4      1      1
Ryan                  -      -      -      -      -      1      1      -      -
Bennet                1      -      -      -      2      1      -      1      1
de Blasio             -      -      1      -      -      -      -      1      -
Bullock               -      1      -      -      1      -      -      -      1
DK/NA                18     17     13     17     19     20     17     18     12
 
                     DEBATE Q7..
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn
 
Biden                16%    14% 
Sanders               5     10  
O'Rourke              1      2  
Harris                9      7  
Warren               33     24  
Booker                9      6  
Gillibrand            -      -  
Klobuchar             3      -  
Castro                -      2  
Gabbard               3      3  
Inslee                1      -  
Hickenlooper          -      -  
Delaney               1      -  
Buttigieg             4      3  
Yang                  3      1  
Williamson            2      2  
Ryan                  1      -  
Bennet                2      -  
de Blasio             1      -  
Bullock               1      -  
DK/NA                 6     26  
 
TREND: (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention) Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in the recent debates: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Bill de Blasio, or Steve Bullock?
                    DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                    WATCHED DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION
                    Aug 06  Jul 02  
                    2019    2019    
                             
Biden               15        6      
Sanders              8        5      
O'Rourke             2        1      
Harris               8       47      
Warren              28       17      
Booker               7        1      
Gillibrand           -        -      
Klobuchar            1        1      
Castro               1        3      
Gabbard              3        1      
Inslee               -        -      
Hickenlooper         -        -      
Delaney              -        -      
Buttigieg            4        3      
Yang                 2        -      
Williamson           2        1      
Ryan                 -        -      
Bennet               1        -      
de Blasio            -        -      
Bullock              -       na
Swalwell            na        -      
DK/NA               17       14      
 
 
7b. (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention q7) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................
                     WATCHED/LISTENED TO DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION Q7..............
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY                             WHITE......
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Yes    No
 
Biden                 9%    13%     8%     8%    10%     8%    10%     7%     8%    14%
Sanders               3      2      2      4      2      4      3      3      3      3
O'Rourke              3      4      4      3      2      4      3      2      4      1
Harris                7      8      5      8      5      8      5      8      6      4
Warren                -      -      -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -
Booker                3      1      3      3      3      2      2      5      1      3
Gillibrand            1      -      1      2      1      1      2      -      2      1
Klobuchar             1      -      4      1      1      2      2      1      1      3
Castro                -      -      -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               1      2      -      1      1      1      1      -      1      1
Inslee                1      2      2      -      -      2      1      2      1      2
Hickenlooper          4      4      3      4      4      4      4      5      4      5
Delaney               6      9      9      3      9      4      6      2      7      4
Buttigieg             -      1      -      -      1      -      -      1      -      1
Yang                  2      -      4      3      1      3      1      4      1      1
Williamson            9     10     10      8     10      8     11      2     15      5
Ryan                  2      2      3      2      2      2      3      -      2      5
Bennet                1      2      2      -      2      1      2      1      2      1
de Blasio             6      6      5      7      7      5      7      8      7      5
Bullock               1      -      1      1      2      -      1      -      1      1
DK/NA                38     35     35     41     35     40     36     48     35     39
 
                     PARTYID.....  AGE IN YRS..............    INCOME.............
                     Dem    DemLn  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    <50k   50-100 100k+
 
Biden                 8%    12%    16%    10%     7%     5%    11%     5%    10%
Sanders               3      2      1      2      5      3      2      4      3
O'Rourke              4      2      4      4      4      2      4      2      5
Harris                8      3     10      7      6      4      5      8      8
Warren                -      1      -      -      -      1      -      -      -
Booker                3      3      3      1      4      2      1      5      1
Gillibrand            1      1      2      -      1      1      -      2      2
Klobuchar             1      2      4      1      -      2      1      -      3
Castro                -      -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
Gabbard               1      -      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
Inslee                1      -      -      2      1      1      3      -      -
Hickenlooper          4      3      1      5      5      3      4      4      3
Delaney               6      5     10      3      7      3      5      7      7
Buttigieg             -      -      -      -      1      1      1      -      -
Yang                  2      3      3      3      3      2      1      5      2
Williamson           10      7      5     10     11     10      5     10     14
Ryan                  2      4      1      3      3      2      2      3      3
Bennet                1      1      3      -      2      2      -      3      1
de Blasio             6      5      2     10      6      7      4      6      8
Bullock               1      -      1      1      1      -      1      -      -
DK/NA                36     46     34     37     32     48     47     34     27
 
                     DEBATE Q7..
                            Paid
                     Watch  Attn
 
Biden                10%     8% 
Sanders               4      2  
O'Rourke              3      3  
Harris                6      7  
Warren                -      -  
Booker                3      2  
Gillibrand            2      1  
Klobuchar             3      -  
Castro                -      -  
Gabbard               1      1  
Inslee                -      1  
Hickenlooper          6      2  
Delaney               9      4  
Buttigieg             1      -  
Yang                  2      2  
Williamson           10      9  
Ryan                  4      1  
Bennet                3      -  
de Blasio             9      4  
Bullock               1      -  
DK/NA                22     50 
 
TREND: (If watched/listened to debate or paid close attention) And which of those candidates do you think did the worst job in the recent debates?
                     DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS..........
                     WATCHED DEBATE OR PAID CLOSE ATTENTION
                     Aug 06  Jul 02  
                     2019    2019    
 
Biden                 9      15      
Sanders               3       3      
O'Rourke              3       7      
Harris                7       2      
Warren                -       1      
Booker                3       3      
Gillibrand            1       1      
Klobuchar             1       1      
Castro                -       1      
Gabbard               1       -      
Inslee                1       1      
Hickenlooper          4       1      
Delaney               6       1      
Buttigieg             -       1      
Yang                  2       7      
Williamson            9      16      
Ryan                  2       1      
Bennet                1       1      
de Blasio             6       2      
Bullock               1      na
Swalwell             na       1      
DK/NA                38      36