January 18, 2021 - 59% Say Trump Should Not Be Allowed To Hold Office In Future, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 2 Out Of 3 Republicans Do Not Think Biden's Victory Is Legitimate Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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As Donald Trump finishes his term in the White House just days after becoming the first President of the United States to be impeached twice, a majority of voters (59 - 38 percent) say he should not be allowed to hold elected office in the future. Surveys throughout Trump's presidency have shown stark political divides, and this last survey of his time in office is no different. Republicans say 80 - 18 percent that Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future, while Democrats say 96 - 3 percent and independents say 59 - 38 percent that he should not be allowed to hold elected office.

In the same week President-elect Joe Biden will be sworn into office, a majority of voters say 64 - 31 percent that his victory in the 2020 presidential election is legitimate. However, Republicans say 67 - 28 percent that Biden's victory is not legitimate, while Democrats say 97 - 0 percent and independents say 62 - 32 percent that Biden's victory is legitimate.

This is up slightly from a December 10, 2020 poll when voters said 60 – 34 percent that Biden’s victory was legitimate. In that poll, Republicans said 70 - 23 percent it was not legitimate.

"A seething President Trump seems poised to slip out of D.C. by the back door while the transition takes place, leaving a wary capital encircled by troops, a weakened country assaulted by a murderous virus, and a weary population disillusioned and divided, wondering if the person next door is a friend or an enemy," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

IMPEACHMENT

Following the riots at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, a majority of voters approve of the House of Representatives' recent vote to impeach President Trump, 55 - 42 percent.

This is an increase from a January 2020 poll when Trump was impeached for the first time by the House of Representatives over different charges involving the president's actions involving Ukraine and U.S. elections. In January of 2020, voters said in a slightly different question that they approved 51 - 46 percent of the House of Representatives voting to impeach Trump.

Asked whether the Senate should vote to convict President Trump or not, a majority, 54 - 42 percent, say yes, the Senate should convict. In a related question about whether or not the Senate should remove Trump from office after he was impeached in January 2020, voters were split, with 48 percent saying he should not be removed and 46 percent saying he should be removed from office.

Separately, voters say 59 - 39 percent that President Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States.

Just over half of voters say, 51 - 43 percent, that President Trump's actions following the 2020 presidential election warrant criminal charges.

PRESIDENT TRUMP & REPUBLICANS

In the final measure of Donald Trump's job approval as President of the United States, voters give him a negative approval rating for the way he's handling his job as president, 34 - 61 percent. This is essentially unchanged from a week ago, when he received a negative 33 - 60 percent approval rating, tying his all-time low. In comparison, former President Obama's final job approval on January 10, 2017 was a positive 55 - 39 percent, one of his highest approval ratings.

In today's poll, Republicans say 73 - 21 percent they approve of the way Trump is handling his job as president.

Just last month, Trump received one of his highest job approval ratings following the November election when voters gave him a negative 44 - 51 percent approval rating. In that December 10th poll, Republicans approved 89 - 9 percent.

"Though he has taken a hit with the base, no matter what legal issues he faces, Donald Trump can take some solace in the fact that almost three-quarters of the GOP still support him and nearly that same percentage believe the election was stolen from him," added Malloy.

Voters are divided on whether Donald Trump represents the Republican party. Forty-nine percent say he does not, while 45 percent say he does. Sixty-nine percent of Republicans say Trump does represent the GOP.

On whether Trump should continue to play a prominent role in the Republican party after he leaves office, voters say 65 - 29 percent he should not. Republicans say 61 - 33 percent that he should.

Asked about the Republican members of Congress who attempted to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election, roughly six in ten voters (63 percent) say those members should face consequences, while roughly two in ten (22 percent) say they should be celebrated. Among Republicans, just under half (49 percent) say they should be celebrated, while 26 percent say they should face consequences. Another 24 percent of Republicans say they are unsure. Democrats say 94 - 2 percent and independents say 62 - 23 percent that they should face consequences.

CONCERNS ABOUT VIOLENCE

Broadly, voters say they are more concerned about violence in the nation's capital than they are about violence in their own state this week.

Sixty-nine percent of voters say they are either very concerned (42 percent) or somewhat concerned (27 percent) about further violence in Washington, D.C. around the time of President-elect Job Biden's inauguration, while 28 percent say they are not concerned (11 percent) or not concerned at all (17 percent).

When asked about violence in their states around the time of President-elect Joe Biden's inauguration, 52 percent of voters say they are either very concerned (20 percent) or somewhat concerned (32 percent), while 47 percent say they are not so concerned (19 percent) or not concerned at all (28 percent).

Asked about the role that white supremacy played in the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, 51 percent of voters say it played a major role, while 18 percent say it played a minor role and 24 percent say it played no role at all.

1,131 self-identified registered voters nationwide were surveyed from January 15th - 17th with a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than twenty states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              34%    73%     3%    34%    40%    29%    28%    49%
Disapprove           61     21     97     59     53     67     66     47
DK/NA                 5      6      1      7      7      4      6      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              23%    31%    45%    35%    49%    33%    41%    11%    34%
Disapprove           72     61     51     63     45     63     54     88     58
DK/NA                 6      8      4      2      6      3      5      1      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                     App     Dis     DK/NA
 
Jan 18, 2021         34      61       5
Jan 11, 2021         33      60       7 
Dec 10, 2020         44      51       5
Jul 15, 2020         36      60       4
Jun 18, 2020         42      55       3
May 20, 2020         42      53       5
Apr 08, 2020         45      51       5 
Mar 09, 2020         41      54       5
Feb 10, 2020         43      53       3 
Jan 28, 2020         43      52       5
See additional trend information at top of page


1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve strongly     26%    59%     2%    23%    31%    22%    20%    38%
Approve smwht         7     12      1     10      8      6      8      9
Disapprove smwht      5      8      2      5      8      2      5      5
Disapprove strongly  55     13     95     54     45     65     61     42
DK/NA                 6      9      1      8      8      5      7      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve strongly     12%    22%    36%    29%    38%    25%    31%     6%    29%
Approve smwht        10      7      8      5     10      8      9      4      5
Disapprove smwht     11      5      2      3      6      3      5      4      6
Disapprove strongly  61     56     49     59     38     59     49     84     52
DK/NA                 6     10      5      4      8      5      6      3      8
 
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
                     APPROVE......   DISAPPROVE.....
                     Strngly Smwht   Smwht   Strngly DK/NA
 
Jan 18, 2021         26       7       5      55       6
Jan 11, 2021         26       7       5      54       8
Dec 10, 2020         36       7       5      47       5 
Jul 15, 2020         25      10       6      54       5
Jun 18, 2020         32      10       6      48       4 
May 20, 2020         28      14       7      46       5
Apr 08, 2020         32      13       8      42       5
Mar 09, 2020         30      11       7      47       5
Feb 10, 2020         35       9       6      47       4 
Jan 28, 2020         34       8       6      47       5
See additional trend information at top of page


2. Do you think that Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 presidential election is legitimate or not legitimate?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Legitimate           64%    28%    97%    62%    58%    70%    74%    49%
Not legitimate       31     67      -     32     38     25     22     45
DK/NA                 5      5      2      6      4      5      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Legitimate           73%    69%    56%    64%    50%    66%    59%    90%    66%
Not legitimate       24     30     38     30     44     29     36      8     31
DK/NA                 3      1      6      7      6      5      5      3      4
 
TREND: Do you think that Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 presidential election is legitimate or not legitimate?
                             Not     
                     Legit   Legit   DK/NA
                     
Jan 18, 2021         64      31       5
Dec 10, 2020         60      34       6
 
 
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the House of Representatives' recent vote to impeach President Trump?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              55%    15%    94%    52%    47%    62%    59%    41%
Disapprove           42     83      4     43     48     36     38     56
DK/NA                 4      2      2      5      5      2      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              65%    53%    46%    57%    39%    56%    48%    85%    55%
Disapprove           31     42     52     40     57     42     49     11     42
DK/NA                 4      5      2      3      5      2      3      3      3
 
 
4. As you may know, now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach President Trump, the Senate will hold a trial. Do you think the Senate should vote to convict President Trump, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Should convict   54%    11%    92%    52%    45%    62%    58%    41%
No                   42     85      4     43     49     35     39     55
DK/NA                 4      4      4      5      6      3      4      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Should convict   63%    53%    46%    55%    39%    55%    48%    85%    55%
No                   32     41     51     42     56     42     48      8     44
DK/NA                 5      6      3      3      5      3      4      7      2
 
 
5. Do you think President Trump should be allowed to hold elected office in the future, or not?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Allowed          38%    80%     3%    38%    46%    30%    31%    52%
No                   59     18     96     59     51     67     65     45
DK/NA                 3      3      1      3      3      2      4      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Allowed          30%    40%    44%    36%    53%    36%    44%     9%    39%
No                   68     58     53     60     43     61     53     90     61
DK/NA                 2      2      3      4      4      3      3      1      -
 
 
6. How concerned are you about - further violence in Washington D.C. around the time of President-elect Joe Biden's inauguration: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very concerned       42%    20%    64%    39%    28%    55%    46%    35%
Somewhat concerned   27     23     29     32     31     24     27     29
Not so concerned     11     19      3     11     15      7     13     12
Not concerned at all 17     33      3     17     23     12     14     20
DK/NA                 3      5      2      1      3      3      -      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very concerned       38%    38%    38%    53%    23%    53%    39%    61%    44%
Somewhat concerned   38     29     24     19     35     22     28     23     28
Not so concerned     10     13     12     10     15     10     12      6      8
Not concerned at all 10     20     20     16     24     12     18      8     20
DK/NA                 4      1      5      2      3      3      3      2      -
 
 
7. How concerned are you about - violence in your state around the time of President-elect Joe Biden's inauguration: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very concerned       20%    10%    30%    16%    12%    28%    16%    16%
Somewhat concerned   32     23     42     31     26     37     37     29
Not so concerned     19     16     20     22     24     15     21     20
Not concerned at all 28     49      7     29     37     20     26     32
DK/NA                 1      2      -      2      1      2      -      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very concerned       14%    19%    20%    28%     8%    23%    16%    37%    27%
Somewhat concerned   35     29     33     33     27     37     32     34     33
Not so concerned     28     15     16     17     24     17     20     12     12
Not concerned at all 22     37     28     22     39     21     29     17     28
DK/NA                 2      -      3      1      2      2      2      -      -
 
 
8. Do you think Donald Trump represents the Republican party, or not?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  45%    69%    31%    43%    50%    40%    43%    52%
No                   49     28     65     50     43     55     52     42
DK/NA                 6      2      4      6      7      5      5      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  38%    43%    47%    49%    55%    42%    48%    40%    33%
No                   58     50     45     47     38     54     46     52     61
DK/NA                 4      7      8      5      8      4      6      7      6
 
 
9. Do you think Donald Trump should continue to play a prominent role in the Republican party after he leaves office, or not?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  29%    61%     2%    32%    35%    24%    22%    41%
No                   65     33     95     64     58     72     74     54
DK/NA                 6      7      3      5      7      4      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  22%    28%    34%    31%    40%    28%    33%     6%    30%
No                   75     65     59     66     54     69     62     89     63
DK/NA                 3      7      7      3      7      3      5      5      7
 
 
10. Which comes closer to your point of view: the Republican members of Congress who attempted to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election should be celebrated for their actions or face consequences for their actions?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Celebrated           22%    49%     2%    23%    26%    19%    19%    34%
Face consequences    63     26     94     62     56     69     64     50
DK/NA                15     24      4     15     17     13     17     16
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Celebrated           14%    21%    29%    23%    33%    23%    28%     3%    19%
Face consequences    74     60     57     62     48     62     56     87     70
DK/NA                12     19     15     15     19     14     16     10     11
 
 
11. Do you think that any of President Trump's actions following the 2020 presidential election warrant criminal charges, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Warrant charges  51%    12%    86%    49%    41%    61%    55%    37%
No                   43     82      7     47     52     34     39     57
DK/NA                 6      6      7      4      7      5      5      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Warrant charges  60%    52%    44%    53%    32%    56%    45%    79%    58%
No                   36     42     51     40     62     40     50     14     37
DK/NA                 5      6      5      7      7      4      5      7      5
 
 
12. Do you think President Trump is responsible for inciting violence against the government of the United States, or don't you think so?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Responsible      59%    17%    96%    57%    49%    68%    63%    44%
No                   39     82      2     40     48     31     35     53
DK/NA                 2      2      2      3      3      1      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Responsible      67%    58%    52%    60%    39%    63%    52%    90%    61%
No                   30     40     47     37     57     36     46      8     38
DK/NA                 3      2      2      3      4      1      2      1      1
 
 
13. How much of a role do you think white supremacy played in the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th: a major role, a minor role, or no role at all?
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Major role           51%    17%    85%    47%    37%    63%    57%    39%
Minor role           18     23     10     23     24     12     19     19
No role at all       24     47      1     26     32     16     19     33
DK/NA                 8     13      3      5      7      8      5      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Major role           53%    50%    47%    56%    31%    59%    46%    81%    53%
Minor role           20     19     18     16     25     14     19     10     18
No role at all       21     24     28     19     37     19     27      5     20
DK/NA                 6      7      8      9      7      8      8      4      8