February 4, 2021 - 50% Of Americans Say Senate Should Convict Trump In Senate Impeachment Trial, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 74% Say Social Media Sites Should Be Held Accountable For Spread Of Disinformation Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Sample and Methodology

With less than a week before the U.S. Senate is set to begin its impeachment trial of former President Donald Trump on charges he incited the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol on January 6th, half of Americans say the Senate should convict Trump and 45 percent say the Senate should not convict him, according to a Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University national poll of 1,075 adults released today.

Democrats say 86 - 11 percent the Senate should convict. Among independents, 49 percent say convict and 45 percent say the Senate should not convict. Republicans say 86 - 12 percent the Senate should not convict Trump.

2020 ELECTION BELIEFS

Despite the fact that Congress certified Joe Biden's victory in the 2020 presidential election last month and numerous federal and state courts rejected claims of widespread voter fraud, over three-quarters of Republicans say they believe there was widespread voter fraud.

Overall, a majority of Americans say 59 - 36 percent that they do not believe there was widespread voter fraud. Democrats say 95 - 4 percent and independents say 59 - 35 percent that they do not believe there was widespread fraud. Republicans say 76 - 19 percent that they believe there was widespread fraud.

"The impeachment question is framed by two distinctly different versions of history and offers as vivid an example of the chasm between Republicans and Democrats as you can find," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.

CONCERNS ABOUT EXTREMIST VIOLENCE

Three-quarters of Americans say they are either very concerned (48 percent) or somewhat concerned (27 percent) about continued violence in the United States by extremist groups emboldened by the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol.

Twenty-two percent say they are either not so concerned (9 percent) or not concerned at all (13 percent).

SOCIAL MEDIA AND DISINFORMATION

Americans say 74 - 20 percent that social media sites should be held accountable for the spread of disinformation. The support for holding social media sites accountable is similar across the board among groups defined by political party, gender, race, age and education level.

"Global, massively influential and too often flat out wrong, the flow of social web information is in need of policing, say Americans," added Malloy.

DEMOCRACY IN THE U.S.

Roughly 7 in 10 Americans (71 percent) say that democracy in the United States is under threat and 22 percent say it is alive and well. Republicans say 85 - 11 percent, independents say 70 - 25 percent and Democrats say 67 - 26 percent that democracy is under threat.

Additional poll findings released on February 3rd, 2021 showed that 45 percent of Americans think the state of the nation's democracy is a crisis and 43 percent said the state of the nation's democracy is a problem, but not a crisis. Only 9 percent said it is not a problem at all.

PARTISAN DIVISIONS

Looking ahead to the next few years, close to 4 in 10 Americans (39 percent) expect partisan divisions in the country to worsen, one-third (33 percent) expect them to remain the same and 20 percent expect them to ease.

On a personal level, Americans were asked whether they have limited interactions over the last four years with friends, acquaintances or family members who do not share their political views. Seven out of ten Americans (70 percent) say they have not limited those interactions and 27 percent say they have.

Republicans say 83 - 16 percent they have not limited their interactions over the last four years with friends, acquaintances or family members who don't share their political views. Independents say 70 - 27 percent and Democrats say 60 - 38 percent they also have not limited their interactions.

1,075 U.S. adults nationwide were surveyed from January 28th - February 1st with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Doug Schwartz, Ph.D. since 1994, conducts independent, non-partisan national and state polls on politics and issues. Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Email poll@qu.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

25. Do you believe there was widespread voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election, or not?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Believe          36%    76%     4%    35%    43%    29%    31%    53%
No                   59     19     95     59     53     66     67     43
DK/NA                 5      4      1      6      4      5      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes/Believe          37%    32%    41%    35%    54%    36%    45%    23%
No                   61     60     56     63     43     61     52     72
DK/NA                 2      8      3      2      3      3      3      5
 
 
26. Which comes closer to your point of view: democracy in the United States is alive and well or democracy in the United States is under threat?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Alive and well       22%    11%    26%    25%    22%    22%    17%    19%
Under threat         71     85     67     70     72     71     80     75
DK/NA                 7      4      6      5      6      8      2      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Alive and well       32%    23%    18%    17%    19%    18%    18%    29%
Under threat         58     74     79     80     75     78     77     65
DK/NA                11      3      4      3      6      4      5      5
 
 
27. Over the next few years, do you expect partisan divisions in the country to ease, to worsen, or to remain about the same as they are today?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Ease                 20%     8%    34%    18%    13%    26%    25%    17%
Worsen               39     63     19     40     45     34     40     48
Remain same          33     27     40     34     36     31     33     31
DK/NA                 7      2      7      9      6      9      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Ease                 13%    21%    24%    22%    12%    28%    20%    20%
Worsen               35     40     44     37     50     41     45     30
Remain same          43     32     29     35     34     29     32     38
DK/NA                 8      7      3      6      4      2      3     12
 
 
28. As you may know, now that the House of Representatives has voted to impeach former President Trump, the Senate will hold a trial. Do you think the Senate should vote to convict former President Trump, or don't you think so?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Should convict   50%    12%    86%    49%    43%    58%    59%    37%
No                   45     86     11     45     53     37     39     60
DK/NA                 5      2      3      6      4      5      2      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes/Should convict   51%    50%    50%    52%    33%    56%    45%    60%
No                   46     42     47     45     64     42     53     34
DK/NA                 3      8      3      3      3      3      3      6
 
 
29. Over the last four years, have you limited your interaction with friends, acquaintances, or family members who don't share your political views, or not?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  27%    16%    38%    27%    25%    29%    33%    28%
No                   70     83     60     70     73     67     65     71
DK/NA                 3      -      2      3      2      3      2      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes                  26%    30%    25%    30%    25%    34%    30%    24%
No                   73     66     74     67     74     64     69     73
DK/NA                 1      4      2      3      1      1      1      3
 
 
30. Do you think social media sites should be held accountable for the spread of disinformation, or don't you think so?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Held accountable 74%    76%    79%    70%    73%    76%    77%    73%
No                   20     22     17     22     21     19     17     23
DK/NA                 6      2      5      8      7      6      6      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Yes/Held accountable 70%    76%    74%    79%    69%    79%    74%    75%
No                   24     17     24     14     25     17     21     19
DK/NA                 5      7      2      7      6      4      5      6
 
 
31. How concerned are you about continued violence in the United States by extremist groups emboldened by the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
                     ADULTS.................................................
                                                               WHITE........
                                                               4 YR COLL DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Very concerned       48%    36%    70%    39%    41%    54%    51%    43%
Somewhat concerned   27     27     23     32     26     29     26     27
Not so concerned      9     14      2     12     13      5      7     11
Not concerned at all 13     21      4     16     18      9     13     16
DK/NA                 3      3      -      2      2      3      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Very concerned       34%    42%    49%    70%    36%    55%    46%    52%
Somewhat concerned   36     35     24     14     27     27     27     28
Not so concerned     10      5     13      6     13      5      9      8
Not concerned at all 19     16     10      6     21      9     15     11
DK/NA                 1      2      3      3      2      4      3      1