August 1, 2016 - New York City Voters Give Mayor Big Thumbs Down, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; But De Blasio Tops Stringer Or Quinn In Reelect Bid Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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New York City voters disapprove 51 - 42 percent of the job Mayor Bill de Blasio is doing, close to his 52 - 41 percent disapproval, his worst grade ever, and say 50 - 42 percent that he does not deserve reelection in 2017, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

But Mayor de Blasio tops two potential challengers, City Comptroller Scott Stringer or former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn in Democratic primary and general election matchups, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Hypothetical election results show:
  • de Blasio gets 43 percent in a Democratic primary, with 19 percent for Quinn and 16 percent for Stringer;
  • de Blasio tops Stringer 45 - 32 percent in a head-to-head general election matchup, with Stringer running as an independent;
  • de Blasio leads Quinn 43 - 33 percent in a two-way general election matchup, with Quinn running as an independent.
There is a wide racial gap in each matchup as black voters back the mayor by large margins, while white voters back Stringer or Quinn.

"For a mayor going into an election year, this is a disturbing poll. Half of New Yorkers say Mayor Bill de Blasio does not deserve reelection," said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Maurice Carroll.

"The plus for Mayor de Blasio is in the political truism that you can't beat somebody with nobody. So far neither City Comptroller Scott Stringer nor former City Council Speaker Christine Quinn shows much political strength.

"The racial divisions that have marked the mayor's first term are as strong as ever: de Blasio is exceptionally strong among black voters, exceptionally weak among white voters."

New York City voters give Mayor de Blasio a 47 - 44 percent favorability rating, while his possible challengers are largely unknown:
  • 63 percent don't know enough about Stringer to form an opinion of him;
  • Quinn gets a 32 - 21 percent favorability, as 45 percent don't know enough about her.
New York City voters approve 60 - 34 percent of the job Gov. Andrew Cuomo is doing. Approval ratings for other New York City officials are:
  • 53 - 13 percent for Stringer;
  • 40 - 17 percent for Public Advocate Letitia James;
  • 29 - 23 percent for City Council Speaker Melissa Mark-Viverito;
Gov. Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio have "honest disagreements," 46 percent of New York City voters say, while 40 percent say they are involved in a "personal feud."

Whatever it is, 42 percent of city voters agree more with Cuomo, while 33 percent agree more with de Blasio.

And 60 percent of voters say the conflict hurts New York City.

"How about that edginess the media keeps reporting about between de Blasio and Cuomo? Is it a personal feud or just an honest difference of opinion? Voters are split. But, overall, they think the governor is doing a good job and the mayor isn't," Carroll said.

Voters say 52 - 41 percent that de Blasio does not have strong leadership qualities, but 51 - 44 percent that he does understand their problems. Voters say 49 - 40 percent that the mayor is honest and trustworthy.

New York City voters are divided 45 - 44 percent on their approval of the way the mayor is handling relations between blacks and whites. He gets negative approval scores in other areas:
  • 42 - 49 percent for his handling of crime;
  • 37 - 55 percent for handling relations between the police and the community;
  • 35 - 43 percent for handling the city budget.
From July 21 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,310 New York City voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. The survey includes 845 Democrats, with a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio, Scott Stringer, and Christine Quinn, for whom would you vote?
                     REGISTERED DEMOCRATS.......................................
                            POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY
                            LIBERAL.....  Mod/
                     Tot    Very   Smwht  Cons   Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            43%    48%    46%    41%    44%    43%    23%    65%    56%
Stringer             16     14     13     19     19     14     30      6     10
Quinn                19     17     23     18     17     21     28     12     14
DK/NA                21     21     19     22     20     22     20     17     20
 
 
2. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Scott Stringer running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            45%    11%    59%    29%    41%    48%    24%    74%    51%
Stringer             32     53     27     42     37     29     51     12     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      6      1      4      4      1      4      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5     11      2      6      5      4      5      1      4
DK/NA                16     18     11     19     13     18     16     12     14
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            61%    48%    40%    41%    27%    57%    42%    44%    38%
Stringer             17     27     39     38     49     22     37     33     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      3      1      3      3      2      2      3      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      5      5      7      3      5      4      5
DK/NA                16     18     15     13     14     16     15     15     14
 
 
3. If the election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates were Bill de Blasio the Democrat, and Christine Quinn running as an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            43%    10%    56%    30%    41%    45%    24%    70%    52%
Quinn                33     48     30     37     34     32     47     19     29
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3     11      1      3      3      2      5      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      8     19      3     10      9      6     10      2      8
DK/NA                13     13     10     20     12     14     14      9     10
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            58%    48%    38%    37%    27%    52%    40%    46%    36%
Quinn                22     30     43     33     40     29     40     30     35
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      2      2      5      8      -      2      4      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      8      6      5     11     10      6      6      9      8
DK/NA                11     15     12     14     15     13     12     12     17
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            47%    12%    59%    33%    42%    50%    27%    75%    52%
Unfavorable          44     82     31     56     50     39     66     17     37
Hvn't hrd enough      6      4      7      7      4      8      5      5      6
REFUSED               3      2      3      4      4      2      2      2      5
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            63%    50%    44%    42%    22%    60%    42%    47%    38%
Unfavorable          30     41     44     49     71     31     48     46     52
Hvn't hrd enough      3      7      8      6      6      8      7      4      6
REFUSED               4      3      4      2      1      2      3      3      4
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Scott Stringer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            26%    17%    28%    29%    29%    23%    33%    16%    28%
Unfavorable          10     14      9     11     10     11     10     13      6
Hvn't hrd enough     63     67     61     59     60     65     55     70     65
REFUSED               1      2      1      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            14%    22%    38%    28%    20%    17%    22%    31%    35%
Unfavorable           9     11     14      8      5     12     12     11      7
Hvn't hrd enough     76     66     46     64     74     72     65     58     55
REFUSED               1      1      2      1      1      -      1      1      3
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Favorable            32%    23%    35%    29%    33%    32%    38%    30%    28%
Unfavorable          21     35     17     26     27     16     29     15     16
Hvn't hrd enough     45     40     46     44     38     50     32     54     53
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2      2      1      2      3
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            20%    33%    46%    26%    29%    23%    38%    32%    36%
Unfavorable          16     21     20     22     30     12     21     26     25
Hvn't hrd enough     62     44     30     50     40     64     40     40     35
REFUSED               1      2      3      1      2      1      1      1      4
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill de Blasio is handling his job as Mayor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              42%     9%    55%    30%    41%    44%    25%    63%    50%
Disapprove           51     86     38     65     53     48     69     29     44
DK/NA                 7      6      7      5      6      8      6      9      6
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              57%    41%    43%    41%    19%    51%    41%    43%    33%
Disapprove           35     51     50     54     74     44     55     50     57
DK/NA                 8      8      7      5      8      6      4      7      9
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Letitia James is handling her job as Public Advocate?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              40%    17%    49%    32%    35%    44%    26%    60%    46%
Disapprove           17     40      8     25     21     13     23      8     16
DK/NA                43     43     43     43     44     43     51     32     38
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              47%    38%    38%    41%    33%    41%    41%    41%    37%
Disapprove            9     19     15     18     25     16     18     17     16
DK/NA                44     43     47     41     41     43     41     42     47
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Mark-Viverito is handling her job as City Council Speaker?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              29%    14%    37%    20%    29%    28%    23%    34%    38%
Disapprove           23     54     12     34     29     18     29     12     25
DK/NA                48     31     51     46     42     53     48     55     38
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              35%    21%    37%    27%    22%    31%    29%    29%    29%
Disapprove           19     22     19     26     40     20     24     24     24
DK/NA                45     56     43     48     38     49     47     47     47
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Stringer is handling his job as City Comptroller?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              53%    44%    58%    50%    55%    50%    58%    52%    51%
Disapprove           13     27      9     14     12     14     12     15     11
DK/NA                34     28     33     35     32     36     31     32     37
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              47%    47%    58%    60%    48%    39%    51%    58%    64%
Disapprove           12     14     14     10     15     16     17     10      7
DK/NA                40     39     28     30     37     45     32     32     29
 
 
15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as Governor?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              60%    51%    66%    55%    62%    59%    55%    66%    67%
Disapprove           34     47     27     39     32     35     40     26     27
DK/NA                 6      2      7      5      7      6      5      8      6
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              63%    56%    56%    67%    57%    54%    64%    63%    64%
Disapprove           29     36     38     28     41     37     32     30     32
DK/NA                 8      8      5      5      2      9      4      7      4
 
 
16. Do you feel that Bill de Blasio deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes/Deserves         42%    13%    53%    32%    42%    43%    23%    72%    47%
No/Does not          50     85     38     62     52     48     70     21     48
DK/NA                 8      2     10      6      6      9      7      7      6
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes/Deserves         57%    44%    41%    39%    23%    53%    40%    42%    36%
No/Does not          32     49     52     52     69     37     55     51     57
DK/NA                11      7      7      9      8     10      5      7      7
 
 
17. Do you believe Governor Cuomo and Mayor de Blasio are involved in a personal feud or do you believe they have honest disagreements about what's best for New York City?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Personal feud        40%    51%    38%    41%    43%    37%    49%    34%    36%
Honest disagreements 46     40     49     41     44     48     39     55     48
DK/NA                14      9     13     18     13     16     12     11     17
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Personal feud        30%    42%    41%    40%    42%    29%    40%    42%    47%
Honest disagreements 52     45     45     46     44     54     49     46     39
DK/NA                18     13     14     14     14     17     11     12     14
 
 
18. Thinking about this conflict, do you agree more with de Blasio or more with Cuomo?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
de Blasio            33%     9%    42%    23%    30%    35%    23%    49%    36%
Cuomo                42     73     36     46     46     40     54     26     46
DK/NA                25     18     22     31     24     25     23     25     18
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
de Blasio            48%    34%    35%    25%    18%    45%    31%    33%    25%
Cuomo                29     38     42     50     65     32     46     44     50
DK/NA                23     28     23     25     17     23     23     24     24
 
 
19. Does the conflict between Cuomo and de Blasio help New York City, hurt New York City, or doesn't it make a difference?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Help NYC              7%     6%     8%     6%     9%     6%     4%    11%     9%
Hurt NYC             60     60     60     64     57     62     68     52     52
No difference        27     25     26     25     27     26     23     29     32
DK/NA                 6      8      6      5      7      6      4      9      7
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Help NYC              7%     9%     7%     6%     6%    13%     4%     7%     6%
Hurt NYC             49     58     67     59     68     54     65     63     55
No difference        34     26     20     29     23     26     26     25     32
DK/NA                10      7      6      5      4      7      5      4      7
 
 
20. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in New York City today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Very satisfied        6%     2%     8%     5%     8%     4%     4%     7%     8%
Smwht satisfied      40     18     49     32     41     39     39     48     33
Smwht dissatisfied   31     31     31     29     27     34     31     31     33
Very dissatisfied    22     48     11     33     22     22     25     13     24
DK/NA                 1      -      1      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Very satisfied       11%     4%     8%     5%     3%     5%     5%     7%     8%
Smwht satisfied      35     41     44     41     32     38     40     44     37
Smwht dissatisfied   37     29     29     29     30     37     31     26     30
Very dissatisfied    17     24     18     24     33     20     24     22     23
DK/NA                 -      1      1      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
 
21. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - has strong leadership qualities or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  41%    17%    49%    34%    42%    40%    24%    65%    46%
No                   52     82     44     60     51     53     72     29     46
DK/NA                 7      1      7      6      7      7      4      6      8
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  48%    42%    39%    40%    27%    52%    38%    40%    36%
No                   43     52     56     51     69     40     58     54     58
DK/NA                 9      6      5     10      3      8      4      6      6
 
 
22. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - understands the problems of people like you or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  51%    15%    64%    40%    47%    55%    36%    78%    54%
No                   44     83     31     54     48     41     59     18     42
DK/NA                 5      2      5      5      5      4      4      4      3
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  57%    55%    53%    49%    26%    61%    50%    53%    42%
No                   38     38     41     48     74     35     47     44     51
DK/NA                 4      6      6      3      -      4      4      3      7
 
 
23. Would you say that Bill de Blasio - is honest and trustworthy or not?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Yes                  49%    13%    61%    40%    46%    51%    38%    68%    54%
No                   40     81     28     49     44     37     54     20     35
DK/NA                11      6     11     11     10     12      8     12     12
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Yes                  55%    48%    55%    46%    28%    53%    50%    48%    46%
No                   32     41     37     41     59     36     43     40     42
DK/NA                13     11      8     13     13     11      7     12     12
 
 
24. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - crime?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              42%    16%    52%    33%    44%    41%    34%    56%    42%
Disapprove           49     81     40     57     48     51     59     36     48
DK/NA                 8      3      8     10      8      9      7      8     10
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              46%    41%    50%    40%    24%    44%    42%    44%    40%
Disapprove           47     48     42     53     72     46     53     47     52
DK/NA                 7     10      9      7      5     10      5      8      8
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations between blacks and whites?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              45%    18%    56%    35%    47%    43%    38%    59%    48%
Disapprove           44     75     33     55     41     46     53     28     45
DK/NA                11      7     11     10     12     11      9     13      7
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              49%    42%    52%    42%    34%    42%    48%    47%    43%
Disapprove           45     45     37     43     63     47     44     43     46
DK/NA                 6     13     12     15      3     11      8     10     10
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - relations between the police and the community?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              37%    11%    48%    28%    39%    36%    28%    54%    42%
Disapprove           55     88     45     63     54     57     68     36     53
DK/NA                 7      1      7      9      7      7      4     11      5
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              48%    34%    44%    35%    15%    35%    36%    39%    39%
Disapprove           46     57     49     57     82     56     59     56     54
DK/NA                 6     10      6      8      3     10      4      6      8
 
 
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mayor de Blasio is handling - the city budget?
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Wht    Blk    Hsp
 
Approve              35%    16%    43%    29%    35%    35%    25%    53%    37%
Disapprove           43     70     33     53     43     43     52     27     46
DK/NA                22     14     23     18     22     22     23     20     18
 
                     AREA.............................  AGE IN YRS..............
                     Brnx   Kngs   Man    Qns    StIsl  18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              37%    36%    34%    37%    24%    34%    36%    40%    30%
Disapprove           42     43     41     41     57     43     48     41     39
DK/NA                21     21     24     21     19     22     15     19     31
 
 

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