March 21, 2019 - Biden Is By Far The Most Favored Dem In New York State, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 64% Of New Yorkers Say They Won't Vote For Trump Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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In an early look at possible 2020 Democratic presidential contenders, former Vice President Joseph Biden is "King of the Hill, A No. 1" among New York State voters, with a 62 - 24 percent favorability rating, higher than any other leading Democrat, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

Vice President Biden led other Democrats in similar surveys by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll in Texas and Florida.

In New York, Biden has the highest net favorability ratings among Democrats and among voters 18 to 34 years old.

With a negative 24 - 49 percent favorability rating, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio has the worst net score among any Democrat in the survey. New York City voters give their mayor a negative 36 - 48 percent favorability.

President Donald Trump gets a negative 28 - 67 percent favorability rating and 64 percent of New York State voters say they definitely will not vote for him if he is the Republican candidate for president in 2020.

Another 21 percent say they definitely will vote for him and 12 percent say they will consider voting for him. Definitely voting for President Trump are 67 percent of Republicans, 3 percent of Democrats and 16 percent of independent voters.

"It's no surprise in blue New York that Democrats are eager to send President Donald Trump packing in 2020," said Mary Snow, polling analyst for the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"But New Yorkers aren't cutting any slack to their own elected officials looking to replace him. As Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand makes her presidential bid official, her net favorability score is her worst ever."

"For New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, who hasn't yet decided whether he'll run, his statewide net favorability rating is at an all-time low since taking office in 2014," Snow added.

"While name recognition isn't helping New Yorkers on the list of 2020 Democratic candidates or potential candidates, it is working to the advantage of former Vice President Joe Biden. His favorability rating is positive across the board except one category: Republicans. But even there, it's higher than any other Democrat who's listed."

New York State voters give Trump a negative 28 - 68 percent job approval rating. Republicans approve 83 - 15 percent and white voters with no college degree are divided as 45 percent approve and 50 percent disapprove. Every other party, gender, education, age, racial and regional group disapproves.

Favorability ratings in New York State for other leading Democrats are:
  • 51 - 38 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont;
  • 21 - 22 percent for former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke of Texas;
  • 27 - 25 percent for U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California;
  • Negative 31 - 38 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts;
  • 31 - 28 percent for U.S. Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey;
  • 70 percent haven't heard enough about U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota to form an opinion of her.
Native son and daughters, whether running for president or not, get low favorability ratings from New York State voters:
  • Negative 29 - 35 percent for U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand;
  • 42 percent favorable and 45 percent unfavorable for Gov. Andrew Cuomo;
  • Negative 31 - 38 percent for U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
From March 13 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,216 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Definitely vote      21%    67%     3%    16%    25%    17%    24%    37%
Consider voting      12     20      2     17     14     10     12     15
Definitely not vote  64      7     93     60     57     69     62     44
DK/NA                 4      6      1      6      4      4      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Definitely vote      11%    22%    21%    27%    34%    26%    30%     5%
Consider voting      12     11     12      8     14     13     13      8
Definitely not vote  74     64     62     62     50     57     54     81
DK/NA                 2      3      5      3      2      3      3      5
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Definitely vote      29%    12%    23%
Consider voting      13      7     18
Definitely not vote  53     78     56
DK/NA                 5      4      3
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            28%    83%     5%    27%    32%    24%    31%    45%
Unfavorable          67     14     94     64     62     71     66     51
Hvn't hrd enough      2      2      -      5      2      2      1      2
REFUSED               3      1      1      5      4      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            21%    27%    27%    34%    41%    33%    37%    13%
Unfavorable          77     66     68     62     56     63     60     80
Hvn't hrd enough      1      5      2      1      1      2      1      3
REFUSED               1      2      3      3      2      1      2      4
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            37%    18%    31%
Unfavorable          58     78     62
Hvn't hrd enough      1      2      4
REFUSED               4      2      2
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            62%    29%    82%    57%    55%    67%    61%    48%
Unfavorable          24     57      6     23     30     18     28     35
Hvn't hrd enough     13     10     11     16     12     13      8     15
REFUSED               2      3      1      3      3      1      4      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            64%    61%    62%    63%    51%    60%    55%    74%
Unfavorable          19     20     25     27     36     26     31      9
Hvn't hrd enough     15     17     10      7      9     12     11     17
REFUSED               1      2      2      2      4      2      3      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            53%    72%    56%
Unfavorable          32     12     30
Hvn't hrd enough     11     14     13
REFUSED               3      1      2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            51%    12%    69%    51%    48%    53%    46%    35%
Unfavorable          38     81     20     36     43     33     47     52
Hvn't hrd enough      9      6      8     12      5     12      6     10
REFUSED               3      1      3      1      3      2      1      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            64%    56%    48%    40%    38%    44%    41%    67%
Unfavorable          27     33     42     50     55     45     50     17
Hvn't hrd enough      6      7      9      9      4     10      7     12
REFUSED               3      5      1      1      3      1      2      4
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            41%    64%    42%
Unfavorable          48     27     41
Hvn't hrd enough      8      6     16
REFUSED               2      4      1
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Beto O'Rourke favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            21%     3%    32%    21%    20%    22%    27%    16%
Unfavorable          22     45     11     22     28     17     24     29
Hvn't hrd enough     55     51     56     56     49     60     48     54
REFUSED               2      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            22%    21%    22%    22%    23%    21%    22%    20%
Unfavorable          13     22     23     26     31     21     26     14
Hvn't hrd enough     63     56     53     50     44     57     51     64
REFUSED               2      1      1      2      1      -      1      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            19%    23%    23%
Unfavorable          25     16     26
Hvn't hrd enough     53     60     50
REFUSED               2      1      1
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            27%     5%    41%    21%    26%    27%    33%    17%
Unfavorable          25     57     10     25     33     18     27     32
Hvn't hrd enough     47     38     47     53     39     54     38     50
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            28%    24%    29%    28%    25%    27%    26%    28%
Unfavorable          17     25     27     26     38     21     30     15
Hvn't hrd enough     54     47     44     45     35     51     43     56
REFUSED               1      4      -      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            25%    30%    24%
Unfavorable          30     19     27
Hvn't hrd enough     43     50     48
REFUSED               2      1      -
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            31%     5%    47%    28%    30%    32%    35%    22%
Unfavorable          38     73     20     40     41     35     47     45
Hvn't hrd enough     30     21     32     31     27     32     17     32
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            33%    29%    35%    32%    29%    29%    29%    36%
Unfavorable          19     42     40     45     51     42     46     23
Hvn't hrd enough     48     27     24     20     19     28     24     40
REFUSED               -      1      1      2      2      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            26%    37%    30%
Unfavorable          46     28     43
Hvn't hrd enough     26     34     27
REFUSED               2      1      -
 
 
8. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            31%     4%    50%    24%    29%    33%    36%    20%
Unfavorable          28     58     11     30     36     21     32     35
Hvn't hrd enough     39     36     38     44     34     44     31     43
REFUSED               2      3      1      1      2      2      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            26%    32%    36%    34%    27%    30%    29%    36%
Unfavorable          20     25     31     31     41     26     33     17
Hvn't hrd enough     54     40     32     32     30     43     37     45
REFUSED               -      4      1      2      2      1      1      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            25%    39%    28%
Unfavorable          29     23     33
Hvn't hrd enough     45     36     37
REFUSED               2      1      2
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            29%     9%    42%    23%    23%    33%    34%    26%
Unfavorable          35     69     20     35     41     30     43     40
Hvn't hrd enough     35     20     36     41     34     35     20     31
REFUSED               2      1      2      1      2      1      2      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            30%    30%    30%    27%    27%    34%    31%    27%
Unfavorable          13     36     39     48     49     35     42     21
Hvn't hrd enough     56     32     29     22     22     28     25     52
REFUSED               -      2      2      2      2      2      2      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            32%    30%    22%
Unfavorable          43     28     34
Hvn't hrd enough     23     41     43
REFUSED               2      1      1
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            13%     1%    22%     9%    14%    13%    22%     9%
Unfavorable          16     25     13     14     15     16     17     17
Hvn't hrd enough     70     73     64     75     70     70     59     72
REFUSED               1      1      1      1      2      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            11%    11%    14%    17%    17%    16%    16%     9%
Unfavorable          11     15     17     21     19     16     17     12
Hvn't hrd enough     79     73     67     61     62     67     65     78
REFUSED               -      2      1      1      2      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            13%    16%    11%
Unfavorable          18     15     14
Hvn't hrd enough     68     68     75
REFUSED               2      2      -
 
 
11. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            42%    11%    59%    38%    36%    46%    35%    29%
Unfavorable          45     83     25     50     52     40     56     58
Hvn't hrd enough     10      5     13      9      9     12      6     10
REFUSED               3      1      3      2      3      2      3      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            42%    43%    44%    39%    28%    36%    32%    58%
Unfavorable          35     47     47     52     62     52     57     26
Hvn't hrd enough     20      8      6      6      6      9      8     14
REFUSED               3      3      3      3      4      2      3      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            32%    52%    39%
Unfavorable          57     33     48
Hvn't hrd enough      7     12     13
REFUSED               3      4      1
 
 
12. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            24%     5%    36%    21%    21%    27%    16%    15%
Unfavorable          49     72     38     51     54     45     57     54
Hvn't hrd enough     24     21     24     26     21     26     24     27
REFUSED               3      2      3      2      4      2      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            34%    21%    23%    20%    15%    16%    16%    39%
Unfavorable          31     51     55     56     62     50     56     37
Hvn't hrd enough     33     22     19     22     19     32     26     21
REFUSED               2      5      2      3      4      2      3      3
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            12%    36%    21%
Unfavorable          45     48     58
Hvn't hrd enough     40     12     19
REFUSED               3      4      2
 
 
13. Is your opinion of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            31%     3%    47%    25%    30%    31%    30%    18%
Unfavorable          38     75     19     41     44     32     47     50
Hvn't hrd enough     31     22     32     33     25     36     22     30
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            38%    33%    34%    23%    27%    23%    25%    40%
Unfavorable          25     38     39     44     57     41     48     19
Hvn't hrd enough     37     29     27     30     15     35     26     40
REFUSED               -      -      1      3      1      1      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            23%    39%    27%
Unfavorable          42     30     44
Hvn't hrd enough     33     29     29
REFUSED               1      1      -