June 13, 2018 - Ohio Governor's Race Too Close To Call, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Brown Has Big Lead In U.S. Senate Contest Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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The Ohio governor's race is too close to call, with former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Director Richard Cordray, the Democrat, at 42 percent and State Attorney General Mike DeWine, the Republican, at 40 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

There are wide gender and racial gaps as men back DeWine 47 - 36 percent, while women back Cordray 48 - 35 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. White voters go Republican by a narrow 44 - 39 percent. Non-white voters go Democratic 56 - 23 percent. DeWine takes Republicans 85 - 4 percent, as Cordray takes Democrats 81 - 8 percent. Independent voters are divided with 39 percent for Cordray and 37 percent for DeWine.

DeWine gets a 39 - 31 percent favorability rating, with 27 percent who don't know enough about him to form an opinion. Cordray gets a 32 - 15 percent favorability rating, while 51 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

Ohio Gov. John Kasich gets a 52 - 36 percent job approval rating, doing better with Democrats than he does with his fellow Republicans, Democrats approve of Kasich 57 - 33 percent. Republicans are divided as 46 percent approve and 44 percent disapprove.

The reverse party split continues as Ohio voters say 51 - 41 percent they do not want Kasich to run for president in 2020. Democrats say yes 52 - 39 percent as Republicans say no 73 - 21 percent.

"The closeness between Richard Cordray and Attorney General Mike DeWine should not be surprising, since this race for governor is a re-run of the race between the two men in 2010 for the attorney general's job that DeWine won by one percentage point," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

"Now, Cordray and DeWine split the key independent vote and get roughly the same share of their party bases," Brown added.

U.S. Senate Race

In Ohio's U.S. Senate race, women voters propel Democratic incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown to a 51 - 34 percent overall lead over U.S. Rep. Jim Renacci, the Republican challenger.

Women back the Democrat 58 - 25 percent. Men are divided with 44 percent for Renacci and 43 percent for Brown. Brown leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats and 51 - 30 percent among independent voters. Renacci takes Republicans 79 - 6 percent.

Ohio voters approve 55 - 29 percent of the job Brown is doing and give him a 48 - 29 percent favorability rating.

Renacci gets a negative 22 - 26 percent favorability rating, as 50 percent don't know enough about him to form an opinion.

Health care is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote for U.S. Senator, 28 percent of Ohio voters say. Another 25 percent cite the economy, with 15 percent for immigration and 14 percent for gun policy.

"Sen. Sherrod Brown is in a strong position for re-election with a 17-point lead and an opponent who is not well-known," Brown said.

Trump Approval

Ohio voters disapprove 54 - 43 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing. Republicans approve 91 - 7 percent. Disapproval is 94 - 5 percent among Democrats and 57 - 37 percent among independent voters.

U.S. Sen. Rob Portman gets a 42 - 36 percent approval rating.

Their vote for U.S. Senator will be more to express support for President Trump, 28 percent of voters say, while 30 percent say their vote will be more in opposition of Trump. Another 39 percent say Trump is not an important factor in their vote.

From June 7 - 12, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,082 Ohio voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and Texas as a public service and for research.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for governor were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Cordray the Democrat and Mike DeWine the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Cordray              42%     4%    81%    39%    36%    48%    42%    36%
DeWine               40     85      8     37     47     35     42     46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       2      2      -      3      3      1      2      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      2      2      2      1      3
DK/NA                14      7     10     19     12     15     12     13
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Cordray              42%    40%    41%    46%    32%    45%    39%    56%
DeWine               31     42     42     45     50     39     44     23
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      2      2      1      3      1      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      2      2      -      2      2      2      -
DK/NA                21     14     11      8     12     13     13     17
 
 
2. Is your opinion of Richard Cordray favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            32%     9%    57%    30%    28%    35%    37%    26%
Unfavorable          15     30      1     14     24      8     17     18
Hvn't hrd enough     51     57     41     52     45     56     45     54
REFUSED               2      4      -      3      3      1      1      3
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            27%    27%    32%    41%    29%    33%    31%    35%
Unfavorable           9     13     22     15     26      9     17      7
Hvn't hrd enough     61     58     44     43     43     56     50     55
REFUSED               3      2      3      1      3      1      2      3
 
 
3. Is your opinion of Mike DeWine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            39%    68%    23%    35%    39%    39%    40%    43%
Unfavorable          31     11     46     32     32     30     34     27
Hvn't hrd enough     27     19     29     30     28     27     22     28
REFUSED               3      3      3      3      1      4      4      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            27%    37%    44%    46%    41%    42%    41%    29%
Unfavorable          25     27     37     33     31     30     30     32
Hvn't hrd enough     48     33     14     18     27     24     25     37
REFUSED               1      2      4      3      1      5      3      2
 
 
4. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Sherrod Brown the Democrat and Jim Renacci the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Brown                51%     6%    91%    51%    43%    58%    53%    42%
Renacci              34     79      2     30     44     25     35     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      1      1      1      -      2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      1      1      1      2      1      2
DK/NA                12     12      6     17     12     13     11     14
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Brown                52%    52%    49%    55%    39%    54%    47%    70%
Renacci              25     34     39     36     48     29     38     16
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      1      1      -      1      1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      2      -      -      2      1      3
DK/NA                17     13      9      9     12     13     12     11
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Sherrod Brown favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            48%    14%    82%    44%    40%    54%    52%    38%
Unfavorable          29     63      3     28     38     22     32     33
Hvn't hrd enough     21     21     15     25     20     22     14     26
REFUSED               2      2      1      3      2      2      3      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            43%    47%    47%    55%    37%    51%    45%    62%
Unfavorable          22     29     37     26     41     24     32     17
Hvn't hrd enough     33     22     14     17     20     22     21     21
REFUSED               2      2      2      1      2      3      2      -
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Jim Renacci favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            22%    54%     2%    17%    29%    16%    24%    24%
Unfavorable          26      5     47     24     22     30     32     22
Hvn't hrd enough     50     40     51     57     47     53     42     54
REFUSED               1      2      1      2      2      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            14%    22%    27%    23%    31%    17%    24%    11%
Unfavorable          30     22     26     30     22     31     26     28
Hvn't hrd enough     53     54     46     47     46     51     49     58
REFUSED               3      1      1      -      1      1      1      3
 
 
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way John Kasich is handling his job as governor?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              52%    46%    57%    55%    50%    54%    52%    51%
Disapprove           36     44     33     32     39     33     35     38
DK/NA                12     10     10     13     11     13     13     12
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              48%    60%    49%    53%    48%    54%    51%    55%
Disapprove           37     31     41     35     40     34     37     33
DK/NA                15      9     10     12     12     12     12     12
 
 
8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Sherrod Brown is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              55%    21%    87%    53%    47%    61%    56%    46%
Disapprove           29     60      5     27     39     21     30     35
DK/NA                16     19      9     20     14     18     14     19
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              59%    54%    50%    58%    44%    57%    51%    71%
Disapprove           22     28     38     25     42     23     32     16
DK/NA                19     18     12     17     14     20     17     13
 
 
9. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rob Portman is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              42%    69%    21%    39%    46%    38%    42%    43%
Disapprove           36     14     57     37     35     37     41     32
DK/NA                22     18     22     23     19     25     17     25
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              26%    42%    47%    48%    47%    39%    43%    40%
Disapprove           40     35     36     35     35     36     36     37
DK/NA                34     22     17     16     18     25     22     23
 
 
10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              43%    91%     5%    37%    54%    33%    40%    53%
Disapprove           54      7     94     57     43     63     55     45
DK/NA                 3      3      -      6      2      4      5      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              36%    42%    49%    44%    58%    37%    47%    23%
Disapprove           62     55     48     55     40     58     49     76
DK/NA                 2      4      4      2      2      4      3      1
 
 
11. Would you like to see John Kasich run for President in 2020 or not?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes                  41%    21%    52%    47%    35%    46%    40%    38%
No                   51     73     39     44     58     44     52     53
DK/NA                 9      6     10      9      7     11      8      9
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Yes                  46%    46%    36%    37%    34%    43%    39%    50%
No                   41     48     59     51     59     47     53     43
DK/NA                13      6      5     12      7     10      8      8
 
 
12. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote in this year's election for United States Senator: the economy, taxes, health care, immigration, trade, or gun policy?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Economy              25%    31%    17%    28%    30%    21%    23%    26%
Taxes                 6      8      5      6      8      5      4      8
Health care          28     13     41     29     23     33     29     26
Immigration          15     25     12     11     15     15     13     14
Trade                 4      4      3      4      5      3      6      3
Gun policy           14     10     16     14     11     17     17     14
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   3      4      2      3      4      3      4      4
DK/NA                 4      4      3      3      4      4      4      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Economy              32%    26%    24%    20%    28%    21%    24%    29%
Taxes                 4     10      5      7      8      5      6      8
Health care          28     26     27     29     23     32     28     29
Immigration          15      5     18     20     14     14     14     18
Trade                 2      6      4      3      6      3      4      1
Gun policy           12     20     13     12     12     18     15     10
SOMETHING ELSE(VOL)   4      3      5      3      5      3      4      2
DK/NA                 3      5      3      7      5      5      5      3
 
 
13. Will your vote in this year's election for United States Senator be more to express support for President Trump, more to express opposition to President Trump, or will President Trump not be an important factor in your vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Support              28%    71%     3%    21%    34%    23%    24%    37%
Opposition           30      3     60     27     23     37     33     22
Not important factor 39     24     36     49     39     38     40     36
DK/NA                 3      1      2      3      4      3      2      5
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Support              19%    26%    34%    32%    37%    26%    31%    16%
Opposition           35     26     27     33     20     34     27     43
Not important factor 42     47     37     29     39     37     38     39
DK/NA                 4      2      2      5      4      3      4      1