February 17, 2017 - Virginia's Kaine Has Big Early Lead In Senate Race, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Trump Deep In A Job Approval Hole Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Two well-known Republican women who might challenge Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine for reelection in 2018 get no help from their sisters, as Kaine leads among women by 23 percentage points in either race, leaving him with a comfortable overall lead, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Kaine leads Republican talk show host Laura Ingraham 56 - 36 percent among all voters and tops businesswoman Carly Fiorina 57 - 36 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

In the Kaine-Ingraham matchup, the Democrat leads 57 - 34 percent among women and 54 - 39 percent among men. He takes Democrats 98 - 1 percent and independent voters 54 - 32 percent. Republicans back Ingraham 86 - 8 percent.

White voters are divided with 48 percent for Kaine and 45 percent for Ingraham. Non- white voters go to Kaine 74 - 15 percent.

Kaine leads Fiorina 57 - 34 percent among women and 56 - 39 percent among men, 98 - 1 percent among Democrats and 55 - 32 percent among independent voters. Republicans back Fiorina 86 - 8 percent. He gets 49 percent of white voters to 45 percent for Fiorina. Non- white voters back Kaine 75 - 16 percent.

"There is a certain similarity to how Virginia voters see Republican officials and potential GOP candidates these days. As was evident in the Quinnipiac University poll earlier this week that showed the Democratic candidates for governor were running better than their Republican counterparts, the same pattern holds true for President Donald Trump's job approval and for an early look at Sen. Tim Kaine's reelection prospects," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"Both the Trump job approval and the Senate race numbers show the Democratic situation roughly 20 points better off than the GOP," Brown added.

"But it would be foolish to see these numbers at this very early point in the Trump administration as anything but a bad start that may or may not remain the case in the months/years to come."

Virginia voters approve 57 - 37 percent of the job Kaine is doing as a U.S. Senator and approve of fellow Democratic Sen. Mark Warner 58 - 26 percent.

Kaine gets a 58 - 34 percent favorability rating, compared to 27 - 22 percent for Ingraham, with 50 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion of her, and a negative 32 - 36 percent for Fiorina, with 31 percent who don't know enough about her to form an opinion of her.

President Trump's Approval

President Donald Trump gets a negative 38 - 56 percent job approval rating in the Old Dominion. Republicans approve 81 - 11 percent, but Democrats disapprove 95 - 3 percent and independent voters disapprove 57 - 37 percent. Disapproval is 52 - 41 percent among men, 60 - 35 percent among women and 76 - 20 percent among non-white voters. White voters are divided as 46 percent approve and 48 percent disapprove.

Virginia voters disapprove 55 - 42 percent of President Trump's order banning people from seven countries from entering the U.S.

Voters say 49 - 31 percent that the U.S. Senate should confirm Judge Neil Gorsuch to the U.S. Supreme Court. Sports for Home-Schooled Students

Virginia voters say 71 - 23 percent that home-schooled students should be allowed to play on public school sports teams. Support is strong among every party, gender, education, age and racial group measured.

"There is one thing upon which Virginians of both parties agree: home-schooled students should be able to play sports with their local schools," Brown said.

From February 10 - 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 989 Virginia voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll

Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.


18. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Tim Kaine the Democrat and Laura Ingraham the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Kaine                56%     8%    98%    54%    54%    57%    58%    39%
Ingraham             36     86      1     32     39     34     37     53
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      3      1      2      -      2
DK/NA                 7      5      1     11      6      7      5      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Kaine                68%    57%    51%    52%    47%    50%    48%    74%
Ingraham             24     35     41     43     48     43     45     15
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      2      3      1      1      1      1      3
DK/NA                 6      6      5      4      5      7      6      8
 
 
19. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Tim Kaine the Democrat and Carly Fiorina the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Kaine                57%     8%    98%    55%    56%    57%    59%    40%
Fiorina              36     86      1     32     39     34     38     52
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -      -      -      -      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      1      1      4      2      2      -      2
DK/NA                 5      5      1      8      3      7      3      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Kaine                68%    59%    52%    52%    48%    50%    49%    75%
Fiorina              29     34     41     41     48     42     45     16
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      -      1      -      -      1      -      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      2      2      2      2      1      1      1      4
DK/NA                 2      5      4      4      3      7      5      5
 
 
20. Is your opinion of Tim Kaine favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            58%    11%    97%    57%    57%    58%    63%    40%
Unfavorable          34     79      1     31     38     31     33     52
Hvn't hrd enough      7      9      2     10      4     10      3      7
REFUSED               1      1      -      2      1      1      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            69%    63%    53%    52%    49%    53%    51%    73%
Unfavorable          23     29     41     42     47     40     43     13
Hvn't hrd enough      7      7      5      4      3      6      5     13
REFUSED               1      -      1      1      1      1      1      1
 
 
21. Is your opinion of Laura Ingraham favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            27%    59%     3%    26%    33%    22%    29%    35%
Unfavorable          22      7     41     18     20     24     30     15
Hvn't hrd enough     50     34     55     55     45     53     40     49
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      -      1      1
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            17%    23%    33%    34%    36%    29%    33%    15%
Unfavorable          21     23     26     20     21     24     23     22
Hvn't hrd enough     61     53     41     46     41     47     44     62
REFUSED               1      -      -      -      1      -      1      -
 
 
22. Is your opinion of Carly Fiorina favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Favorable            32%    62%     6%    34%    34%    30%    36%    36%
Unfavorable          36      6     66     32     38     35     46     28
Hvn't hrd enough     31     31     28     32     26     35     18     34
REFUSED               1      1      -      1      1      1      1      2
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Favorable            23%    32%    38%    34%    38%    34%    36%    22%
Unfavorable          40     37     39     31     36     37     37     35
Hvn't hrd enough     34     30     22     35     24     28     26     42
REFUSED               3      -      1      -      2      1      1      -
 
 
25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Warner is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              58%    39%    78%    54%    58%    59%    64%    50%
Disapprove           26     42     10     29     31     22     24     35
DK/NA                16     18     12     16     11     20     11     16
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              53%    57%    61%    66%    53%    60%    57%    63%
Disapprove           21     22     29     29     34     26     30     18
DK/NA                26     21     10      5     12     14     14     19
 
 
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tim Kaine is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              57%    13%    94%    55%    56%    58%    63%    39%
Disapprove           37     78      3     37     40     34     33     55
DK/NA                 6      8      2      8      4      7      4      6
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              66%    62%    52%    54%    46%    54%    51%    73%
Disapprove           30     30     41     43     49     40     44     20
DK/NA                 3      8      7      3      5      6      5      7
 
 
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as President?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              38%    81%     3%    37%    41%    35%    34%    58%
Disapprove           56     11     95     57     52     60     61     35
DK/NA                 6      8      2      6      7      5      6      7
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              26%    36%    42%    45%    48%    44%    46%    20%
Disapprove           69     60     51     49     44     51     48     76
DK/NA                 5      4      7      5      7      6      6      4
 
 
29. Do you think home-schooled students in Virginia should or should not be allowed to play on public school sports teams?
                                                               WHITE......   HvKids
                                                               COLLEGE DEG   InPublic 
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No     School 
                                                                                    
Allowed to play      71%    75%    65%    73%    70%    71%    68%    69%    73%    
Not allowed          23     20     26     23     24     22     26     22     23     
DK/NA                 6      5      8      4      6      6      6      9      4     
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
                     
Allowed to play      78%    71%    70%    65%    70%    67%    69%    76%
Not allowed          17     24     25     24     23     25     24     21
DK/NA                 4      5      4     11      7      7      7      4
 
 
30. As you may know, Donald Trump has issued an executive order that temporarily bans people from entering the U.S. who are from the countries of Iraq, Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, and Yemen. Do you approve or disapprove of this action?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              42%    85%     5%    42%    46%    38%    37%    60%
Disapprove           55     12     94     54     50     60     60     37
DK/NA                 3      4      1      4      3      3      2      4
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Approve              29%    38%    50%    49%    53%    45%    49%    26%
Disapprove           68     60     49     49     44     52     48     72
DK/NA                 2      3      2      2      3      3      3      2
 
 
31. From what you've seen and heard so far, do you think the Senate should or should not confirm Neil Gorsuch to the Supreme Court?
                                                               WHITE......
                                                               COLLEGE DEG
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Yes/Should           49%    78%    23%    55%    56%    44%    56%    56%
No                   31      6     59     23     29     32     30     22
DK/NA                20     17     18     22     16     24     13     22
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....           Non-
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    Wht
 
Yes/Should           29%    47%    59%    61%    61%    52%    56%    32%
No                   39     34     29     22     23     29     26     41
DK/NA                32     19     12     17     16     19     17     26