July 19, 2016 - New York Is In A Clinton State Of Mind, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Schumer Leads Unknown Gop Challenger More Than 2-1 Quinnipiac University Polling Logo
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Driven by a 3 - 1 lead in New York City, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47 - 35 percent among all New York State voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Both candidates have negative favorability ratings, 41 - 52 percent for Clinton and 32 - 61 percent for Trump, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Clinton leads among all age groups, especially among voters 18 to 34 years old, who go Democratic 53 - 18 percent. There is a yawning gender gap, with men tipping to Trump 44 - 40 percent, while women back Clinton 54 - 28 percent.

New York City voters back Clinton 63 - 20 percent, while upstate voters go to Trump 48 - 36 percent. Suburban voters are divided, with 40 percent for Trump and 39 percent for Clinton.

Both candidates suffer from lower levels of same-party support than winning candidates normally receive, as Clinton leads 82 - 10 percent among Democrats, while Trump takes Republicans 76 - 9 percent. Independent voters back Clinton 41 - 35 percent.

With third party candidates in the race, Clinton gets 45 percent, with Trump at 33 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent.

"As Republicans rally in Cleveland and Democrats prepare for their Philadelphia convention, Hillary Clinton seems to have her adopted home state votes safely locked up," said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Maurice Carroll.

"Donald Trump's a native New Yorker. He even sounds like one, compared with Clinton's flat Midwestern accent, but he lags by double digits in the state where they'll both vote," Carroll added.

"There's a big gender gap. Women are solidly for the first woman nominee of a major party. Even though she calls Chappaqua home, Clinton trails Trump among men."

Donald Trump's selection of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate was a good choice, New York State voters say 43 - 21 percent, but 59 percent of voters don't know enough about Pence to form an opinion of him.

"Picking Pence had no noticeable effect on Trump's New York numbers," Carroll said.

U.S. Senate Race

In New York State's U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Charles Schumer leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 60 - 28 percent. Schumer is ahead among every gender, age and regional group listed, and among Democrats and independent voters, while Long has a lackluster 62 - 24 percent lead among Republicans.

New York State voters approve 62 - 29 percent of the job Schumer is doing and give him a 57 - 25 percent favorability rating.

For Long, 74 percent haven't heard enough to form an opinion of her.

Voters approve 56 - 22 percent of the job Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is doing.

President Obama Approval

New York State voters approve 56 - 40 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his best score in more than three years. Approval is 70 - 25 percent in New York City and 52 - 46 percent in the suburbs, while upstate voters disapprove 52 - 45 percent.

From July 13 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,104 New York State voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.

Visit www.quinnipiac.edu/polling or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.

1. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              47%     9%    82%    41%    40%    54%    53%    45%    49%    46%
Trump                35     76     10     35     44     28     18     40     41     41
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      2      5      3      4      6      4      2      3
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      5      5      1      7      7      4     10      5      3      2
DK/NA                 9      7      5     12      6     11     13      7      6      8
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Clinton              36%    63%    39%
Trump                48     20     40
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       3      3      4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      7      4
DK/NA                 9      6     13
 
 
2. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Clinton              45%     7%    79%    38%    34%    54%    45%    45%    46%    46%
Trump                33     74      9     32     41     27     15     35     39     41
Johnson               6      2      2      9      9      3     12      8      4      1
Stein                 4      3      2      6      6      2      6      4      3      4
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1      -      1      1      -      2      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      4      2      4      3      4     10      1      1      2
DK/NA                 8      9      4     10      7      9     12      5      6      6
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Clinton              35%    60%    35%
Trump                45     17     39
Johnson               5      5      8
Stein                 3      6      1
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      1      1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      4      3      3
DK/NA                 7      7     12
 
 
3. Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in this year's presidential election; are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic, or about the same as usual?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
More                 40%    54%    41%    32%    49%    33%    28%    40%    51%    40%
Less                 33     28     29     41     28     38     43     30     27     35
About the same       25     18     28     23     21     28     27     29     22     24
DK/NA                 1      -      1      3      2      1      2      2      1      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
More                 41%    39%    42%
Less                 35     35     29
About the same       23     25     28
DK/NA                 1      2      2
 
 
4. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable   23%    53%     7%    22%    29%    18%     9%    24%    27%    28%
Smwht favorable       9     17      2      9     10      8      5     12      8     12
Smwht unfavorable     7      5      6      8     10      5      9      5      7      6
Strongly unfavorable 54     19     81     53     44     62     70     52     51     51
Hvn't hrd enough      4      4      2      5      4      4      4      6      5      1
REFUSED/DK/NA         3      3      1      3      3      3      2      2      2      3
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Strongly favorable   33%    11%    28%
Smwht favorable      12      6      9
Smwht unfavorable     4     10      7
Strongly unfavorable 47     63     51
Hvn't hrd enough      2      7      2
REFUSED/DK/NA         3      3      3
 
 
5. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable   25%     6%    48%    16%    19%    30%    18%    25%    30%    29%
Smwht favorable      16      7     23     18     17     16     23     14     14     14
Smwht unfavorable     7      3      5     10      7      7     13      8      5      4
Strongly unfavorable 45     82     16     49     54     38     38     48     46     46
Hvn't hrd enough      4      1      5      5      2      5      7      4      3      2
REFUSED/DK/NA         3      1      3      2      2      4      -      -      2      5
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Strongly favorable   19%    35%    18%
Smwht favorable      13     18     20
Smwht unfavorable     6      8      7
Strongly unfavorable 59     30     49
Hvn't hrd enough      2      6      3
REFUSED/DK/NA         2      3      4
 
 
6. Is your opinion of Jill Stein favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable    2%     -      2%     2%     1%     2%     2%     1%     1%     3%
Smwht favorable       7      2      9      8      8      6     20      6      5      2
Smwht unfavorable     2      3      2      3      4      1      5      1      2      2
Strongly unfavorable  4      4      3      5      4      3      2      7      4      4
Hvn't hrd enough     85     90     83     82     82     87     71     86     86     89
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      -      1      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Strongly favorable    1%     1%     3%
Smwht favorable       5      8      8
Smwht unfavorable     2      3      2
Strongly unfavorable  4      4      3
Hvn't hrd enough     87     82     84
REFUSED/DK/NA         -      1      -
 
 
7. Is your opinion of Gary Johnson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? COMBINED WITH: (If Favorable/Unfavorable) Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Strongly favorable    3%     1%     2%     4%     4%     2%     7%     1%     2%     1%
Smwht favorable       7      7      8      6      9      4      7      9      7      5
Smwht unfavorable     5      5      6      3      5      4      4      4      6      4
Strongly unfavorable  5      7      5      5      5      5      -      5      8      7
Hvn't hrd enough     80     80     79     82     76     84     82     81     76     81
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      -      1      -      1      1      -      -      1      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Strongly favorable    2%     2%     6%
Smwht favorable       8      7      4
Smwht unfavorable     5      4      5
Strongly unfavorable  6      5      4
Hvn't hrd enough     79     81     80
REFUSED/DK/NA         1      1      1
 
 
8. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Charles Schumer the Democrat and Wendy Long the Republican, for whom would you vote?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Schumer              60%    24%    87%    58%    55%    65%    69%    56%    59%    61%
Long                 28     62      9     28     36     21     15     32     32     33
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       1      -      -      1      1      -      -      -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      3      3      1      4      2      4      5      3      2      1
DK/NA                 8      9      3      9      6     10     11      9      6      5
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Schumer              53%    71%    54%
Long                 38     17     31
SMONE ELSE(VOL)       -      1      -
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)      1      5      3
DK/NA                 7      7     12
 
 
9. Is your opinion of Charles Schumer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            57%    32%    77%    53%    52%    62%    61%    52%    60%    62%
Unfavorable          25     51      5     31     31     21      6     31     30     27
Hvn't hrd enough     15     15     16     14     15     16     31     16      8      9
REFUSED               2      2      1      2      2      2      3      1      2      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            54%    63%    53%
Unfavorable          32     19     26
Hvn't hrd enough     13     18     16
REFUSED               2      1      4
 
 
10. Is your opinion of Wendy Long favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Favorable            17%    37%     6%    16%    21%    14%     8%    16%    23%    19%
Unfavorable           9      3     11      9      7     10     15      6      9      7
Hvn't hrd enough     74     60     82     74     72     76     77     78     66     74
REFUSED               1      1      1      -      1      -      -      -      2      1
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Favorable            25%    11%    14%
Unfavorable           9      9      6
Hvn't hrd enough     66     78     79
REFUSED               -      1      1
 
 
12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              62%    33%    82%    64%    58%    66%    72%    55%    61%    63%
Disapprove           29     56     12     31     33     26     15     36     34     31
DK/NA                 8     11      6      5      9      8     13      9      5      6
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              56%    68%    62%
Disapprove           35     24     30
DK/NA                 9      8      9
 
 
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              56%    39%    76%    51%    50%    61%    50%    60%    57%    62%
Disapprove           22     40      8     24     25     20     18     19     25     24
DK/NA                22     21     16     26     25     19     32     22     17     14
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              57%    56%    55%
Disapprove           26     18     22
DK/NA                17     26     23
 
 
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
                                                               AGE IN YRS..............
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    18-34  35-49  50-64  65+
 
Approve              56%    14%    87%    58%    47%    64%    72%    51%    53%    52%
Disapprove           40     83     11     40     49     32     25     44     44     45
DK/NA                 4      3      3      3      5      3      4      5      3      2
 
                     AREA.............
                     UpStat NYC    Sub
 
Approve              45%    70%    52%
Disapprove           52     25     46
DK/NA                 3      5      2
 
 
27. Is your opinion of Mike Pence favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (Asked Jul 15-17)
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Favorable            18%    35%     5%    20%    22%    14%
Unfavorable          23      2     40     19     21     25
Hvn't hrd enough     59     61     55     61     56     61
REFUSED               -      1      -      -      1      -
 
 
28. Do you think Donald Trump's selection of Mike Pence as his vice presidential running mate was a good choice or a bad choice? (Asked Jul 15-17)
                     Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom
 
Good                 43%    60%    32%    45%    49%    38%
Bad                  21      3     34     22     18     24
DK/NA                36     37     35     32     33     38
 
 

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