July 2, 2018 - American Voters Support Roe V. Wade 2-1, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Dem Candidates Up 9 Points In U.S. House Races PDF format Trend Information Sample and Methodology detail There is only a small gender gap as American voters agree 63 - 31 percent with the U.S. Supreme Court Roe v. Wade decision on abortion, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Men agree 61 - 32 percent, while women agree 65 - 30 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll finds. Republicans disagree with Roe v. Wade 58 - 36 percent. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group agrees. The Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics rather than law, American voters say 50 - 42 percent. The court is too liberal, 19 percent of voters say, as 31 percent say it is too conservative and 41 percent say it is about right. But 49 percent of voters approve of the Supreme Court's decision upholding President Donald Trump's travel ban on citizens from five mostly Muslim countries, while 46 percent disapprove. President Trump's nomination to the Supreme Court should make the court more conservative, 31 percent of voters say, as 29 percent say it should make the court more liberal and 35 percent say it should keep the current balance on the court. American voters are divided on when the U.S. Senate should consider President Trump's Supreme Court nominee, as 46 percent say the Senate should consider the nomination and 48 percent say the Senate should not consider the nomination until after the November elections. "It's a draw on banning travel from some largely Muslim countries, but there is no ambivalence on abortion as men and women dig in and say, 'Hands off Roe v. Wade,'" said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. American voters say 65 - 24 percent, including 48 - 37 percent among Republicans, they would like to see the U.S. Supreme Court be a check on President Trump. Voters say 71 - 20 percent, including 51 - 36 percent among Republicans, they would like to see the U.S. Congress be a check on the president. Elections to the U.S. House of Representatives If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, 50 percent of American voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate, as 41 percent say they would vote for the Republican candidate. Independent voters back the Democratic candidate 49 - 35 percent. There are wide gender and racial gaps: Men go Republican 50 - 42 percent as women go Democratic 58 - 33 percent; White voters are divided 46 - 46 percent. Backing Democratic candidates are black voters 80 - 13 percent and Hispanic voters 60 - 35 percent. American voters disapprove 78 - 15 percent of the way Congress is handling its job. Immigration is the most important issue in deciding how they will vote in November's election for the House of Representatives, 27 percent of voters say, with 23 percent citing the economy, 22 percent listing health care and 13 percent saying gun policy. "Is it a signal of a blue wave? Four months until elections for the U.S. House of Representatives and 50 percent of American voters say they plan to vote for Democratic candidates," Malloy added. Trade Policy Trump's trade policies are bad for the U.S. economy, voters say 50 - 39 percent and bad for their personal financial situation, voters say 46 - 35 percent. Trump's trade policies will result in a trade war, voters say 52 - 38 percent and say 73 - 17 percent that a trade war would be bad for the U.S. economy. From June 27 - July 1, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,020 voters nationwide, with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including design effect. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts nationwide public opinion surveys, and statewide polls in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and Texas as a public service and for research. Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll. 1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Democratic candidate 50% 5% 96% 49% 42% 58% 53% 38% Republican candidate 41 93 3 35 50 33 40 52 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 2 - 1 - 2 DK/NA 8 2 1 14 8 8 6 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Democratic candidate 58% 48% 49% 53% 38% 52% 46% 80% 60% Republican candidate 32 43 45 42 56 38 46 13 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - - - 2 1 - - DK/NA 8 8 6 5 6 8 7 7 4 MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Q15... Econ- Health Immig- Gun omy Care ration Policy Democratic candidate 41% 71% 40% 65% Republican candidate 52 20 57 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - - DK/NA 7 9 3 11 3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 15% 29% 5% 12% 15% 14% 15% 18% Disapprove 78 62 89 80 77 78 79 74 DK/NA 7 10 6 8 7 7 5 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 19% 18% 12% 13% 17% 16% 16% 4% 12% Disapprove 70 71 85 81 77 76 77 84 82 DK/NA 10 11 3 5 6 8 7 12 7 TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? App Dis DK/NA Jul 02, 2018 15 78 7 Jun 06, 2018 13 78 9 Apr 11, 2018 12 81 7 Mar 07, 2018 13 80 6 Feb 07, 2018 15 77 8 Jan 18, 2018 16 78 6 Dec 19, 2017 13 79 8 Dec 05, 2017 12 80 8 Aug 24, 2017 10 83 7 Aug 17, 2017 10 85 5 See additional trend information at top of page 11. In general, would you like to see Congress be a check on President Trump, or not? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Check 71% 51% 88% 74% 69% 73% 76% 64% No 20 36 7 17 22 18 16 26 DK/NA 9 13 4 9 9 9 8 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Check 73% 70% 72% 68% 69% 71% 70% 84% 71% No 19 17 19 24 21 20 21 10 21 DK/NA 8 13 9 7 10 9 9 6 9 12. In general, would you like to see the Supreme Court be a check on President Trump, or not? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Check 65% 48% 82% 66% 64% 66% 69% 56% No 24 37 12 23 26 22 23 28 DK/NA 11 15 6 11 10 12 8 16 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Check 71% 64% 66% 61% 62% 64% 63% 75% 70% No 19 24 23 27 26 24 25 17 20 DK/NA 9 11 10 12 11 12 12 8 10 14. Compared to past elections for the U.S. House of Representatives, how motivated would you say you are to vote in this year's election; are you more motivated to vote than usual, less motivated, or are you just as motivated as usual? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More 49% 41% 58% 48% 46% 51% 47% 48% Less 5 - 5 6 4 5 1 5 As usual 46 58 38 45 48 44 52 47 DK/NA 1 - - 1 1 - - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More 51% 49% 48% 48% 47% 47% 47% 55% 55% Less 6 2 5 4 2 3 3 14 9 As usual 43 48 48 47 50 49 50 31 34 DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 - - - 1 15. What is the most important issue to you in deciding how to vote in this year's election for the U.S. House of Representatives: the economy, taxes, health care, immigration, or gun policy? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Economy 23% 32% 20% 19% 28% 18% 23% 24% Taxes 9 8 5 11 10 7 7 11 Health care 22 12 33 21 20 24 25 18 Immigration 27 36 23 25 24 29 27 26 Gun policy 13 8 15 15 11 14 10 14 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 2 2 5 3 3 5 2 DK/NA 4 3 3 4 4 4 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Economy 26% 27% 20% 21% 30% 19% 24% 23% 23% Taxes 14 11 8 3 9 8 9 3 10 Health care 15 19 28 24 18 25 22 30 21 Immigration 22 22 29 32 26 26 26 15 31 Gun policy 18 12 11 13 10 15 12 23 9 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 3 4 2 3 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 2 6 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 16. Will your vote in this year's election for the U.S. House of Representatives be more to express support for President Trump, more to express opposition to President Trump, or will President Trump not be an important factor in your vote? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 24% 56% 2% 18% 26% 22% 22% 33% Opposition 35 5 69 32 25 43 38 28 Not important factor 38 36 27 47 46 32 38 36 DK/NA 3 3 2 4 3 4 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 12% 20% 26% 34% 29% 26% 27% 2% 19% Opposition 37 31 38 35 23 41 33 45 41 Not important factor 46 48 35 25 45 31 37 50 38 DK/NA 5 - 2 5 3 3 3 3 3 25. Do you think the Supreme Court is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Liberal 19% 38% 8% 14% 21% 17% 15% 24% Conservative 31 5 59 29 27 34 37 24 About right 41 55 24 45 45 38 44 42 DK/NA 9 3 10 11 7 11 4 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Liberal 15% 22% 18% 20% 22% 17% 19% 10% 19% Conservative 38 28 34 27 24 36 31 45 35 About right 36 38 44 43 48 39 43 27 33 DK/NA 10 11 3 10 6 8 7 18 13 TREND: Do you think the Supreme Court is too liberal, too conservative, or about right? Too Too About Lib Cons Right DK/NA Jul 02, 2018 19 31 41 9 Apr 21, 2010 29 19 40 12 Jul 17, 2008 25 31 33 10 Aug 16, 2007 20 29 37 13 26. In general, do you think that the Supreme Court is mainly motivated by politics or mainly motivated by the law? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Mainly politics 50% 46% 60% 47% 49% 51% 43% 54% Mainly law 42 47 34 46 45 40 51 37 DK/NA 7 7 6 7 6 8 6 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Mainly politics 57% 51% 52% 46% 47% 50% 49% 71% 48% Mainly law 40 44 44 41 47 42 44 21 47 DK/NA 3 5 4 13 6 8 7 8 5 27. As you may know, the Supreme Court upheld President Trump's travel ban against citizens of five Muslim majority countries. Do you approve or disapprove of this decision? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 49% 87% 14% 49% 59% 40% 47% 58% Disapprove 46 8 83 45 36 55 49 34 DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 37% 50% 55% 50% 63% 44% 52% 25% 45% Disapprove 56 48 42 43 31 50 42 72 55 DK/NA 7 2 3 7 6 6 6 3 - 28. President Trump has the opportunity to make a nomination to the Supreme Court to replace Justice Kennedy. Would you like to see him make the court more conservative, more liberal, or keep the present balance? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No More conservative 31% 68% 6% 25% 38% 26% 29% 40% More liberal 29 4 59 25 21 34 36 20 Keep the balance 35 26 32 42 36 34 32 34 DK/NA 5 2 3 9 4 6 2 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp More conservative 22% 36% 33% 33% 41% 29% 35% 17% 24% More liberal 35 25 30 28 21 34 28 45 27 Keep the balance 35 31 35 33 34 32 33 29 40 DK/NA 8 8 2 5 3 5 4 10 9 29. If President Trump nominates a Supreme Court Justice before the November midterm election, do you think the Senate should consider that nomination, or do you think the Senate should not consider any Supreme Court nomination until after the election? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Consider nomination 46% 81% 17% 43% 54% 40% 46% 52% Not consider nom 48 12 78 50 40 54 49 39 DK/NA 6 6 4 7 6 6 4 9 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Consider nomination 38% 48% 51% 47% 57% 43% 49% 22% 43% Not consider nom 54 46 44 50 37 50 44 73 54 DK/NA 9 6 5 3 6 7 7 6 3 30. Do you think it was the right thing or the wrong thing for the Senate Republicans to change the Senate rules so that all Supreme Court nominees can be confirmed with 51 votes instead of 60 votes? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Right thing 33% 63% 9% 28% 41% 25% 30% 39% Wrong thing 55 23 81 59 46 62 58 46 DK/NA 12 14 10 13 13 12 12 15 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Right thing 25% 34% 36% 33% 43% 27% 34% 15% 34% Wrong thing 59 57 56 50 43 59 52 75 59 DK/NA 16 9 8 17 13 14 13 10 7 TREND: Do you think it was the right thing or the wrong thing for the Senate Republicans to change the Senate rules so that all Supreme Court nominees can be confirmed with 51 votes instead of 60 votes? Right Wrong DK/NA Jul 02, 2018 33 55 12 Apr 20, 2017 35 55 10 31. In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Agree 63% 36% 84% 68% 61% 65% 70% 54% Disagree 31 58 13 25 32 30 24 40 DK/NA 6 7 4 7 8 5 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Agree 63% 65% 64% 62% 58% 66% 62% 71% 59% Disagree 31 28 30 32 34 30 32 22 33 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 8 4 6 7 8 TREND: In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion? Agree DisAgr DK/NA Jul 02, 2018 63 31 6 Feb 08, 2017 67 29 4 Jan 27, 2017 70 26 4 Jan 12, 2017 68 28 4 Nov 23, 2016 67 30 3 Feb 07, 2013 63 30 7 Feb 23, 2012 64 31 5 Apr 21, 2010 60 35 5 Jul 17, 2008 63 33 5 Aug 16, 2007 62 32 6 See additional trend information at top of page 34. If the Democratic party wins control of the House of Representatives in 2018, would you like to see them begin the process to impeach President Trump, or not? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Impeach 38% 6% 71% 37% 29% 46% 34% 33% No 56 93 20 56 66 48 59 64 DK/NA 6 1 10 7 5 7 7 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Impeach 46% 36% 39% 35% 24% 41% 34% 63% 52% No 49 60 55 59 71 53 61 30 42 DK/NA 6 4 6 6 5 5 5 7 6 TREND: If the Democratic party wins control of the House of Representatives in 2018, would you like to see them begin the process to impeach President Trump, or not? Yes/ Impeach No DK/NA Jul 02, 2018 38 56 6 Jun 08, 2018 36 57 8 Apr 26, 2018 38 55 7 Jan 10, 2018 45 51 5 35. Do you think President Trump's trade policies are good or bad for the U.S. economy? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good 39% 75% 8% 37% 48% 31% 36% 46% Bad 50 12 86 50 43 56 54 40 NEITHER (VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 DK/NA 10 12 5 13 8 12 9 13 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good 32% 40% 42% 39% 50% 33% 41% 15% 39% Bad 54 46 52 51 41 53 47 81 49 NEITHER (VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 DK/NA 13 13 6 9 8 13 11 2 11 36. Do you think President Trump's trade policies are good or bad for your personal financial situation? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good 35% 69% 9% 33% 45% 27% 34% 42% Bad 46 15 75 47 41 50 48 37 NEITHER (VOL) 7 4 8 8 7 8 8 6 DK/NA 11 12 8 12 7 15 10 15 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good 30% 36% 40% 35% 47% 31% 38% 17% 33% Bad 52 41 49 42 38 47 43 67 50 NEITHER (VOL) 3 10 5 12 8 7 7 10 9 DK/NA 15 13 6 12 8 16 12 6 8 37. Do you think President Trump's trade policies will result in a trade war, or don't you think so? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Trade War 52% 25% 77% 51% 47% 55% 57% 44% No 38 65 14 39 45 32 35 43 DK/NA 11 10 9 11 8 13 8 13 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Trade War 49% 55% 55% 48% 45% 56% 51% 65% 52% No 36 34 40 39 47 32 39 22 37 DK/NA 14 11 4 13 9 12 11 13 11 38. Do you think that a trade war would be good or bad for the U.S. economy? WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Good 17% 31% 4% 17% 21% 13% 13% 20% Bad 73 54 93 70 70 75 77 69 DK/NA 10 14 3 12 8 12 10 12 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Good 12% 16% 21% 13% 21% 12% 16% 9% 14% Bad 80 72 71 75 71 75 73 85 80 DK/NA 7 12 8 11 8 13 11 6 6
